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To H0 or not to H0?

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arxiv 2103.08723 v3 pith:WTPSNPPJ submitted 2021-03-15 astro-ph.CO

classification astro-ph.CO
keywords distanceladderchangeslatephysicsresolvetimeactually
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This paper investigates whether changes to late time physics can resolve the `Hubble tension'. It is argued that many of the claims in the literature favouring such solutions are caused by a misunderstanding of how distance ladder measurements actually work and, in particular, by the inappropriate use of a distance ladder H0 prior. A dynamics-free inverse distance ladder shows that changes to late time physics are strongly constrained observationally and cannot resolve the discrepancy between the SH0ES data and the base LCDM cosmology inferred from Planck. We propose a statistically rigorous scheme to replace the use of H0 priors

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Cited by 18 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Hubble tension: the shape wall

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    Late-time modifications to the expansion history can raise H0 by at most about 2% (conservative) to 3.7% (permissive) if the CMB acoustic scale is fixed.

  2. Can Distance Duality Violation Save Late-time Solutions to the Hubble Tension?

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    For fixed sound-horizon and supernova calibrations, no late-time modification—even one violating cosmic distance duality—can resolve the Hubble tension, because the required ~8-10% CDDR violation is excluded by BAO, c...

  3. Cosmological Concordance in an Especially Opaque Universe: A Tentative Cosmological Detection of Physical Neutrino Mass in $\Lambda$CDM

    astro-ph.CO 2026-06 reject novelty 6.0 of 10

    Imposing a high prior on τ = 0.11 ± 0.006 produces a 2σ positive neutrino mass sum of 0.10 eV and restores concordance between CMB and DESI data inside ΛCDM.

  4. BAO miscalibration cannot rescue late-time solutions to the Hubble tension

    astro-ph.CO 2025-10 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    Even after rescaling BAO data to prefer H0≈73 km/s/Mpc, none of six tested late-time dark-energy models can resolve the Hubble tension once unanchored SNeIa and CMB geometry are included.

  5. Impact of DESI BAO Data on Inflationary Parameters: stability against late-time new physics

    astro-ph.CO 2024-12 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Using CMB, supernova, and DESI BAO data, this study finds that inflationary parameters n_s and A_s remain stable (shifts under 1%) when SDSS BAO data is replaced by DESI BAO data across several late-time models.

  6. Thermo-Coupled Early Dark Energy

    hep-ph 2024-11 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A scalar quadratically coupled to neutrinos can generate early dark energy-like dynamics whose energy density redshifts away faster than radiation, potentially easing the Hubble tension.

  7. Controlled Tension Forecasting: Quantifying Cross-Probe Biases in $\omega_0\omega_a$CDM

    astro-ph.CO 2025-12 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Controlled mock analyses show that cross-probe calibration tensions — in matter density, H0, supernova brightness, or sound horizon — can fake 3–10σ apparent dynamical-dark-energy signals while the true cosmology is ΛCDM.

  8. Can the sound horizon-free measurement of $H_0$ constrain early new physics?

    astro-ph.CO 2025-01 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Mock galaxy-survey analyses show that sound-horizon-free H0 measurements do not currently rule out BAO-compatible early dark energy models, and LambdaCDM-derived priors can bias the result.

  9. Composite Dark Energy and the Cosmological Tensions

    astro-ph.CO 2024-12 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    A composite dark energy with negative-energy phantom matter before z≈1.5 and quintessence afterward improves the fit over ΛCDM by ΔAIC≈60 and resolves both tensions with BAO 2D, but not with BAO 3D.

  10. Late Time Dynamical Dark Energy and the CMB-Distance Ladder Tension

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    The SNIa absolute-magnitude tension between the distance ladder (−19.204) and CMB+ΛCDM (−19.430) is independent of late-time expansion history, and DESI's w0–wa dark-energy hints shift H0 by only ~0.3–0.4 km/s/Mpc.

  11. No preference for generalized emergent dark energy from current cosmological data

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    GEDE dark energy is observationally indistinguishable from ΛCDM once supernova data are included, with no phantom crossing and no resolution of the H0 and S8 tensions.

  12. Hubble tension: a short review of theoretical explanations

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 accept novelty 4.0 of 10

    A comprehensive review finds no theoretical Hubble-tension solution yet passes all consistency tests; new early-dark-energy chains reach high H0 only when the SH0ES calibration is added.

  13. The road towards precision measurements of $H_0$ with bright sirens in the Einstein Telescope era

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    Under simulated Einstein Telescope bright-siren catalogues, ~90 low-redshift events reach σ_H0≈1 km/s/Mpc alone; with BAO, ~20 suffice.

  14. Decay of dark energy into dark matter in a metric $f(R)$ gravity: effective running Hubble constant

    astro-ph.CO 2025-06 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    A metric f(R) gravity model with dark energy decaying into dark matter produces a running Hubble constant that tracks the binned supernova decline better than a power law, but the fit is poor and does not resolve the ...

  15. Effect of Peak Absolute Magnitude of Type Ia Supernovae and Sound Horizon Values on Hubble Tension using DESI results

    astro-ph.CO 2024-12 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    Using DESI DR1, Pantheon+ and cosmic chronometer data, the authors show that changing the Type Ia supernova absolute magnitude and sound-horizon priors moves the inferred H0 from about 73 to 68 km/s/Mpc, reducing the ...

  16. QCD CP-violation scenario for a revised cosmological dynamics: analysis of the binned Pantheon Sample of Super Novae Ia

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 reject novelty 3.0 of 10

    The paper fits a dark-matter–dark-energy interaction model from a complex scalar field to binned Pantheon SNeIa data and claims to explain the redshift-running H0, but the derivation's equations are internally inconsistent.

  17. The Hubble tension: A decade review

    astro-ph.CO 2026-06 unverdicted novelty 3.0 of 10

    Pure early or late fixes to the Hubble tension are tightly constrained; remaining options are combined early-late interacting dark energy or new physics at the local-to-homogeneous transition.

  18. Interacting Early Dark Energy

    gr-qc 2025-02 reject novelty 3.0 of 10

    The paper derives a modified radiation scaling and a decaying field-to-radiation ratio for an exponentially coupled scalar, but the claimed cosmological constant behavior and data agreement are not supported.

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