Anatomy of Perturbed Traffic Networks during Urban Flooding

Urban flooding disrupts traffic networks, affecting the mobility and disrupting access of residents. Since flooding events are predicted to increase due to climate change, and given the criticality of traffic networks, understanding the flood-caused disruption of traffic networks is critical to improve emergency planning and city resilience. Leveraging high-resolution traffic network data from a major flood event and advanced high-order network analysis, this study reveals characteristics of the anatomy of perturbed traffic networks. First, the findings show network-wide persistent increased travel times could last for weeks after flood water has receded, even after modest flood failure. During disaster event period, modest flooding of 1.3% road segments caused 8% temporal expansion of the entire traffic network. The results also show distant trips would experience a greater percentage increase in travel time. Also, the extent of increase in travel time does not decay with distance from inundated areas, suggesting that the spatial reach of flood impacts extends beyond flooded areas. Departing from the existing literature, which primarily informs about physical vulnerability in road networks to floods, the findings of this study provide important novel understanding of floods impacts on the functioning of traffic networks in terms of travel time and traffic network geometry. The persistent travel time increase in the entire network can translate to significant social and economic impacts in terms of user costs, additional CO2 emissions, and lost productivity. Due to the importance of traffic networks functioning for the operation of cities, the results have significance implications for city managers, transportation planners, and emergency managers to deal with the impacts of urban flooding.