REVIEW
MACHO Project Limits on Black Hole Dark Matter in the 1-30 Solar Mass Range
Astrophysics · Submitted 28 Nov 2000 · 12 references
Pith's verdict: A clean null-result extension of the MACHO exclusion to 30 solar masses, with the 30 M_sun endpoint the softest number in it — and the paper half-says so.
T0 · AI review
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Referee report
The paper
The paper claims
A search for long, slow brightenings in the Large Magellanic Cloud finds none, which caps how much of the Galaxy's dark halo can be locked up in black holes between a third of a solar mass and thirty solar masses.
The reading
What carries the argument
Two pieces of machinery carry the argument. The first is the mass-duration relation for microlensing, $t_0$ roughly $130$ times the square root of the lens mass in solar masses, in days, which is what makes a search for long events equivalent to a search for heavy lenses. The second is the zero-count Poisson bound: if a model predicts $N$ events, the probability of observing none is $e^{-N}$, so $N=3$ corresponds to a 95% exclusion. The bridge between them is the photometric detection efficiency as a function of event duration, computed for the actual observing history, weather, seeing, telescope slips and blending, and then averaged over the halo model's distribution of lens distances and velocities. The halo model used is a cored isothermal sphere with local density $0.0079$ solar masses per cubic parsec, core radius $5$ kpc, and total mass $4$ times $10^{11}$ solar masses within 50 kpc, with an isotropic Maxwellian velocity distribution.
Extended reading notes
Core claim
The central claim is a null result turned into a mass bound. In 5.7 years of MACHO imaging of the Large Magellanic Cloud, using the conservative event-selection criteria of the collaboration's earlier microlensing analysis plus a requirement that the fitted event duration exceed 150 days, no candidate events survive. Because microlensing events are Poisson distributed, a model predicting $3$ or more events is excluded at 95% confidence by seeing zero. Convolving the measured detection efficiency as a function of duration with the predicted duration distribution of a standard halo model, the authors find that a halo made entirely of objects between $0.3$ and $30.0$ solar masses would have produced more than three such events, and is therefore ruled out. Combined with the collaboration's earlier limits at lower masses, this means compact objects below $30$ solar masses cannot constitute the entire dark halo of typical size, and objects below $10$ solar masses contribute under 40% of it. The authors restate the result in halo-independent units: less than $4$-$5$ hundred billion solar masses in compact objects below $30$ solar masses can be present in the halo, with the corresponding figure for objects below $10$ solar masses about $1.6$ hundred billion.
Load-bearing premise
The whole bound rests on the computed detection efficiency for very long events: if the pipeline underestimates how easily a 150-to-600-day brightening would have been found, then the expected number of events for heavy lenses is too high and the mass limit is too strict.
Editorial extensions
If this is right
- Black holes and other compact objects below $30$ solar masses are eliminated as the dominant component of a typical Galactic dark halo, leaving primordial black holes in that range unable to solve the dark matter problem on their own.
- The bound is quoted in a form that scales with the assumed halo mass, so a halo twice as massive within 50 kpc weakens the 100% exclusion at $30$ solar masses to roughly a 50% one rather than overturning it.
- The remaining allowed window for compact halo dark matter moves above roughly $30$ solar masses, where the collaboration says its current cuts on slow variables and on fitted duration below 600 days have little sensitivity.
- Because the exclusion applies to any mass function built only from masses in the excluded range, mixed populations of black holes confined to $0.3$ to $30$ solar masses are excluded along with single-mass halos.
Reading between the lines
- The same null result is a statement about the longest timescales the survey could measure, so extending the baseline from 5.7 to 8 years should push the bound upward in mass more through better rejection of slow variable stars than through more exposure.
- A single confirmed microlensing event with a fitted duration well above 150 days would not merely weaken the limit; it would be direct evidence for a compact object heavier than roughly ten solar masses in the halo, which is a more interesting outcome than the bound itself.
- The technique is symmetric in time: the same efficiency curve that converts zero long events into a heavy-mass bound also constrains any population of slow transients, so the analysis doubles as a constraint on long-duration supernovae and AGN misclassification in the LMC lightcurves.
- Because the bound is expressed as a total mass in compact objects rather than a fraction, it transfers to any halo model with a different total mass by simple rescaling, which is the form most useful to anyone testing a specific black-hole dark matter scenario.
Original abstract
We report on a search for long duration microlensing events towards the Large Magellanic Cloud. We find none, and therefore put limits on the contribution of high mass objects to the Galactic dark matter. At 95% confidence level we exclude objects in the mass range 0.3 solar masses to 30.0 solar masses from contributing more than 4 times 10^11 solar masses to the Galactic halo. Combined with earlier results, this means that objects with masses under 30 solar masses cannot make up the entire dark matter halo if the halo is of typical size. For a typical dark halo, objects with masses under 10 solar masses contribute less than 40% of the dark matter.
The compiled record
The paper's own sentences, arranged, kept beside the review and separate from it. Each label is drawn from a closed vocabulary; the number beside it is the probability the classifier gave that label. Numbers in the tables are the authors', checked by code. No sentence in this record was written by a model.
The abstract, sentence by sentence
We report on a search for long duration microlensing events towards the Large Magellanic Cloud. We find none, and therefore put limits on the contribution of high mass objects to the Galactic dark matter. At 95% confidence level we exclude objects in the mass range 0.3 solar masses to 30.0 solar masses from contributing more than 4 times 10^11 solar masses to the Galactic halo. Combined with earlier results, this means that objects with masses under 30 solar masses cannot make up the entire dark matter halo if the halo is of typical size. For a typical dark halo, objects with masses under 10 solar masses contribute less than 40% of the dark matter.
background contribution method result interpretation main claim
| # | sentence | role | the authors' own work | states the main conclusion | strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| s0 | We report on a search for long duration microlensing events towards the Large Magellanic Cloud. | contribution 0.98 | 0.93 | 0.02 | asserted 0.92 |
| s1 | We find none, and therefore put limits on the contribution of high mass objects to the Galactic dark matter. | result 0.88 | 0.96 | 0.38 | asserted 1.00 |
| s2 | At 95% confidence level we exclude objects in the mass range 0.3 solar masses to 30.0 solar masses from contributing more than 4 times 10^11 solar masses to the Galactic halo. | result 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.53 | asserted 1.00 |
| s3 | Combined with earlier results, this means that objects with masses under 30 solar masses cannot make up the entire dark matter halo if the halo is of typical size. | interpretation 0.98 | 0.73 | 0.52 | asserted 0.92 |
| s4 | For a typical dark halo, objects with masses under 10 solar masses contribute less than 40% of the dark matter. | result 0.69 | 0.71 | 0.18 | asserted 0.99 |
What was examined, and what was not
- arXiv listing abstract v1
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- relations to other papers
- P abstract
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Figures
Figures reproduced from arXiv:astro-ph/0011506 by the authors.
References
How later papers used it
169 later papers cite it
1 later paper by other authors is listed below: 1 used its data or values.
Uses its data or values 1 of 11 papers with this label
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Included this paper's MACHO microlensing constraints among the constraints in its Set A.
The Maximal-Density Mass Function for Primordial Black Hole Dark Matter (2018) · 0.92 · paraphrased: the licence does not allow quoting
How the literature uses it
131 arXiv papers cite this in 152 sentences
Papers citing it · 120 sentences without a confident label
Uses its data or values 10 papers
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Using data from the plot of $ρ_PBH/ρ_DM$ against $M_PBH$ from [ref] (which is in turn collated from constraints due to evaporation [ref] , femto-lensing of gamma-ray bursts [ref] , neutron-star capture [ref] , white dwarf explosions [ref] , microlensing [ref] , Planck results [ref] , survival of stars in Segue I [ref] and Eridanus II [ref] , and distribution of wide binaries [ref] ), it is possible to scale the observed constraints on PBH abundance such that they include a period of evolution in the matter dominated phase.
Extreme scenarios: the tightest possible constraints on the power spectrum due to primordial black holes · PBH formation likelihood and power spectrum constraints · 0.96
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The EROS collaboration find a $95%$ upper confidence limit $τ< 0.36 ×10^-7$ which they translate into limits on the halo fraction [ref] : [equation] or [equation] Combined EROS and MACHO collaboration limits on short duration events constrain the abundance of light MACHOs [ref] [equation] while a dedicated search by the MACHO collaboration for long ($> 150$ days) duration events leads to limits on more massive MACHOs [ref] : [equation] or [equation]
Generalised constraints on the curvature perturbation from primordial black holes · Microlensing · 0.96
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The MACHO collaboration [ref] excluded the objects in the mass range $0.3 M_⊙$ to $30 M_⊙$, and the latest result of the EROS-1 and EROS-2 [ref] excluded the mass range $0.6 ×10^-7 M_⊙< M < 15 M_⊙$, as the bulk component of the galactic DM.
Primordial Black Holes as All Dark Matter · PBH formation and observational constraints · 0.93
Compares with it 3 papers
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This bound is stronger than most of current observational constraints [ref] for $10-300 M_⊙ PBH$ [We do not consider CMB constraints reported by Ricotti et al. (2008) [ref] , which overestimate the effects of PBHs on CMB observables (see [ref] ).].
Implications for Dark Matter Direct Detection in the Presence of LIGO-Motivated Primordial Black Holes · Introduction · 0.95
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Also shown in fig:sense are current constraints from microlensing surveys [ref] (blue line), and the CMB [ref] (purple and black lines), where the purple contour denotes the bound derived assuming an identical accretion model to the one adopted here.
Constraining the primordial black hole abundance with 21cm cosmology · Results and conclusions · 0.93
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Compared to the lensing constraints from EROS-2 [ref] and MACHO [ref] Collaborations, the lensing of FRBs is sensitive to heavier compact objects ($≳$ 1 $M_⊙$), and thus these constraints can also be viewed as complementary probes of exotic compact objects.
Lensing of fast radio bursts: future constraints on primordial black hole density with an extended mass function and a new probe of exotic compact fermion and boson stars · Fermion stars · 1.00
Cites it as background 19 papers
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Further details regarding these PBH constraints which are all associated with various caveats [ref] , can be found in the companion article [ref] .
Complementary probes of inflationary cosmology · Introduction · 0.91
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These constraints include searching for capture of PBHs by compact objects [ref] , lensing searches [ref] , dynamical effects on ultra-faint dwarf galaxies [ref] , orbital dynamics [ref] , non-observations of stochastic gravitational waves [ref] , and effects of accretion onto PBHs via cosmic microwave background observations [ref] .
Lensing of fast radio bursts: future constraints on primordial black hole density with an extended mass function and a new probe of exotic compact fermion and boson stars · Introduction · 0.87
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These have resulted in a multitude of observational constraints [ref] , along with several future projections [ref] along a broad range of PBH masses.
Near future MeV telescopes can discover asteroid-mass primordial black hole dark matter · Introduction · 0.86
Discussion
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