Spontaneous coalition forming: a model from spin glass

In this paper a simple model is proposed to decribe the spontaneous formation of coalitions among a group of actors like countries. The basic ingredients are from the physics of disorder systems. It is the interplay of two different spin glass models with respectively random bond and random site disorders which is instrumental in the present approach. The cold war stabilty period is then given an explanation as well the instabilities produced by the Warsow pact dissolution. European and Chinese stabilities are also discussed.