Pith Number

pith:7CW2I66E

pith:2026:7CW2I66ET5PFAYLAYFJN5BIXFJ

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

When Do Markets Fully Process Public Information? Evidence from Real-Time Prediction Markets

Giovanni Angelini, Luca De Angelis

arxiv:2606.07811 v1 · 2026-06-05 · econ.EM

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{7CW2I66ET5PFAYLAYFJN5BIXFJ}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-06-09T01:04:52.779113Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

f8ada47bc49f5e506160c152de85172a4f884128b149aaac8896affe6e024eae

Aliases

arxiv: 2606.07811 · arxiv_version: 2606.07811v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2606.07811 · pith_short_12: 7CW2I66ET5PF · pith_short_16: 7CW2I66ET5PFAYLA · pith_short_8: 7CW2I66E

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/7CW2I66ET5PFAYLAYFJN5BIXFJ \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: f8ada47bc49f5e506160c152de85172a4f884128b149aaac8896affe6e024eae

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "a815aad36b8e403ac78248b05dd4206aa8f0954d1870438b40a37f2f5018a65a",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "econ.EM",
    "submitted_at": "2026-06-05T19:38:16Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "8f23ae80cebb3979eba37719fece1c7059dc64c07a931ee20c8ddf41dabf73a1"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2606.07811",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}