Pith Number

pith:AAHYCYP3

pith:2025:AAHYCYP3MKTDEGISAFEGYN3RHQ

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Forecasting Rare Language Model Behaviors

Erik Jones, Ethan Perez, Jan Leike, Jared Kaplan, Jesse Mu, Meg Tong, Mohammed Mahfoud, Mrinank Sharma, Roger Grosse, William Fithian

arxiv:2502.16797 v1 · 2025-02-24 · cs.LG

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Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{AAHYCYP3MKTDEGISAFEGYN3RHQ}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

5 papers in Pith

Predicting LLM Safety Before Release by Simulating Deployment

Forecasting Future Behavior as a Learning Task

Comprehensive AI governance requires addressing non-model gains

SCARCE: Scalable Cascade Analysis for Rare-event Characterisation via Embeddings

Estimating Tail Risks in Language Model Output Distributions

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T10:18:59.799123Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

000f8161fb62a632191201486c37713c2b3df0d6a48fc7bdfd9c226776c37315

Aliases

arxiv: 2502.16797 · arxiv_version: 2502.16797v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2502.16797 · pith_short_12: AAHYCYP3MKTD · pith_short_16: AAHYCYP3MKTDEGIS · pith_short_8: AAHYCYP3

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/AAHYCYP3MKTDEGISAFEGYN3RHQ \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 000f8161fb62a632191201486c37713c2b3df0d6a48fc7bdfd9c226776c37315

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "6f3f6a0a878587f1c17befe56c6eb5954557778e6605c969a914245e1cf6a861",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.LG",
    "submitted_at": "2025-02-24T03:16:15Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "a820946f70b2fa6f9a92b9bf98c36081d9af768908ee6b90f6270c151d275fad"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2502.16797",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}