Pith Number

pith:CPVBP4VG

pith:2025:CPVBP4VGSBTOPVUZKLXO7GONFN

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

LLMs Can Teach Themselves to Better Predict the Future

Benjamin Turtel, Danny Franklin, Philipp Schoenegger

arxiv:2502.05253 v1 · 2025-02-07 · cs.CL · cs.AI

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{CPVBP4VGSBTOPVUZKLXO7GONFN}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

4 papers in Pith

Diverse Evidence, Better Forecasts: Multi-Agent Deliberation Under Information Asymmetry

Verifiable Rewards for Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting

StakeBench: Evaluating Language Understanding Grounded in Market Commitment

ClinQueryAgent: A Conversational Agent for Population Health Management

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T10:11:34.949080Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

13ea17f2a69066e7d69952eeef99cd2b6bdf95fae2657e0adb998a12c323d68d

Aliases

arxiv: 2502.05253 · arxiv_version: 2502.05253v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2502.05253 · pith_short_12: CPVBP4VGSBTO · pith_short_16: CPVBP4VGSBTOPVUZ · pith_short_8: CPVBP4VG

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/CPVBP4VGSBTOPVUZKLXO7GONFN \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 13ea17f2a69066e7d69952eeef99cd2b6bdf95fae2657e0adb998a12c323d68d

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "4fdbdbe328864d431b0f6e1dfac84cf557915154f1dd9ce9658ad47434650bcb",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.AI"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.CL",
    "submitted_at": "2025-02-07T17:21:16Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "e16e9b17d7db949b0b58994a792f951b8d28a51a410751ebbaedbe9212a28dae"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2502.05253",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}