Pith Number

pith:FNDKKV5Z

pith:2024:FNDKKV5ZGDNXLF6Q66RGKHKMR4

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Can Language Models Use Forecasting Strategies?

Meredith Ringel Morris, Pietro Kreitlon Carolino, Sarah Pratt, Seth Blumberg

arxiv:2406.04446 v1 · 2024-06-06 · cs.LG · cs.AI

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{FNDKKV5ZGDNXLF6Q66RGKHKMR4}

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Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

2 papers in Pith

Verifiable Rewards for Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T08:28:43.810052Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

2b46a557b930db7597d0f7a2651d4c8f15d95be4f4f3894530c73937eb5f6036

Aliases

arxiv: 2406.04446 · arxiv_version: 2406.04446v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2406.04446 · pith_short_12: FNDKKV5ZGDNX · pith_short_16: FNDKKV5ZGDNXLF6Q · pith_short_8: FNDKKV5Z

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/FNDKKV5ZGDNXLF6Q66RGKHKMR4 \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 2b46a557b930db7597d0f7a2651d4c8f15d95be4f4f3894530c73937eb5f6036

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "1a298b65ab95a3b2213b1e6b420823ac69d07e73c619cf5101b9b6ac15cef007",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.AI"
    ],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.LG",
    "submitted_at": "2024-06-06T19:01:42Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "3f07f1630834beabaec09e40ef29f16b67ac1e9f00da6e86f0462b4c0584fd43"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2406.04446",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}