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pith:JXHE362P

pith:2026:JXHE362P5PLYEWKRJQZIB5AISP
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Analyzing the Impact of Release Season and Production Budget on Movie Revenue and Profitability

Amirmohammad Sadeghnejad, Jason Le, Mohammad Jalili Torkamani, Pedro Gomes

Release season has limited effect on movie revenue compared to production budget and popularity.

arxiv:2605.12551 v1 · 2026-05-10 · econ.EM

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Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp
2 Internet Archive
3 Author claim open · sign in to claim
4 Citations open
5 Replications open
Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state
The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Claims

C1strongest claim

release season has limited predictive influence on revenue and return on investment (ROI). In contrast, production budget, popularity, and audience ratings are significantly more influential.

C2weakest assumption

That correlations identified in the TMDB dataset reflect stable drivers of revenue rather than being driven by omitted variables, selection effects in the data, or post-hoc model choices.

C3one line summary

Movie revenue and profitability are driven primarily by production budget, popularity, and ratings rather than release season.

References

8 extracted · 8 resolved · 1 Pith anchors

[1] Paramount on Hollywood Accounting Thirty Years Later , author=
[2] (No Title) , year=
[3] Anthony and Garcia, Joshua R
[4] The Box Office and the Long Tail: An Examination of the Effects of Streaming on the Distribution of Box Office Revenue , author=
[5] The Economics of Movies (Revisited):

Formal links

1 machine-checked theorem link

Receipt and verification
First computed 2026-05-18T03:10:02.126053Z
Builder pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature Pith Ed25519 (pith-v1-2026-05) · public key
Schema pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

4dce4dfb4febd78259514c3280f40893e3271f3aef691295484bd7aa1e9c2b6b

Aliases

arxiv: 2605.12551 · arxiv_version: 2605.12551v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2605.12551 · pith_short_12: JXHE362P5PLY · pith_short_16: JXHE362P5PLYEWKR · pith_short_8: JXHE362P
Agent API
Verify this Pith Number yourself
curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/JXHE362P5PLYEWKRJQZIB5AISP \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 4dce4dfb4febd78259514c3280f40893e3271f3aef691295484bd7aa1e9c2b6b
Canonical record JSON
{
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    "abstract_canon_sha256": "af66e7974bbbd22fe2d1322fb7a04f9f12bb9835e28bdb55c6fcbe8dad622ff3",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "econ.EM",
    "submitted_at": "2026-05-10T23:14:52Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "7660e8f11d0e0387ff6df57af9bf4356375841cd55b19d2dad59cb0115cf9d61"
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  "source": {
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    "kind": "arxiv",
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}