Pith Number

pith:LB2FRRFU

pith:2024:LB2FRRFU4U5BXLN7DO53LIENGT

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities

Chen Yueh-Han, Danny Halawi, Ezra Karger, Fred Zhang, Houtan Bastani, Philip E. Tetlock, Zachary Jacobs

arxiv:2409.19839 v5 · 2024-09-30 · cs.LG · cs.AI · cs.CL

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{LB2FRRFU4U5BXLN7DO53LIENGT}

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Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

11 papers in Pith

From Forecasting Leaderboards to Deployment Decisions: A Fail-Closed Certification Protocol

ForecastBench-Sim: A Simulated-World Forecasting Benchmark

Diverse Evidence, Better Forecasts: Multi-Agent Deliberation Under Information Asymmetry

Verifiable Rewards for Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting

StakeBench: Evaluating Language Understanding Grounded in Market Commitment

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T10:21:23.388059Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

587458c4b4e53a1badbf1bbbb5a08d34dc358e76b3805ad56b84819c8b9d4a80

Aliases

arxiv: 2409.19839 · arxiv_version: 2409.19839v5 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2409.19839 · pith_short_12: LB2FRRFU4U5B · pith_short_16: LB2FRRFU4U5BXLN7 · pith_short_8: LB2FRRFU

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/LB2FRRFU4U5BXLN7DO53LIENGT \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 587458c4b4e53a1badbf1bbbb5a08d34dc358e76b3805ad56b84819c8b9d4a80

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "9077631a6bdeaf67a2a9bddae3290b1c4c9a651b1034817e66cfbec0635cbd9f",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.AI",
      "cs.CL"
    ],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.LG",
    "submitted_at": "2024-09-30T00:41:51Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "1ee80f602a2e8770bf7093684f4ba4efc76ea6cb55823697598195fbe3eba58e"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2409.19839",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 5
  }
}