Pith Number

pith:OLSR3BJA

pith:2025:OLSR3BJANO2O7IY6R7N62JNKCL

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Prompt Engineering Large Language Models' Forecasting Capabilities

Barbara Mellers, Cameron R. Jones, Philip E. Tetlock, Philipp Schoenegger

arxiv:2506.01578 v1 · 2025-06-02 · cs.CL

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{OLSR3BJANO2O7IY6R7N62JNKCL}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

1 paper in Pith

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T11:14:16.160840Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

72e51d85206bb4efa31e8fdbed25aa12e63e5803374e81a7ccde05c3103b829b

Aliases

arxiv: 2506.01578 · arxiv_version: 2506.01578v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2506.01578 · pith_short_12: OLSR3BJANO2O · pith_short_16: OLSR3BJANO2O7IY6 · pith_short_8: OLSR3BJA

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/OLSR3BJANO2O7IY6R7N62JNKCL \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: 72e51d85206bb4efa31e8fdbed25aa12e63e5803374e81a7ccde05c3103b829b

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "666a7c4c266e86c8c0f5c81ff0bc6a882710d6559d61b5d580b9020f7cbc54c7",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.CL",
    "submitted_at": "2025-06-02T12:07:11Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "1d76cdc636ffa164310722b8bb0a3e641fe2332103684165ae6881b93f98e68b"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2506.01578",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}