Pith Number

pith:X5QGPPJJ

pith:2023:X5QGPPJJMIJVBV343QB75MM6YK

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament

Peter S. Park, Philipp Schoenegger

arxiv:2310.13014 v1 · 2023-10-17 · cs.CY · cs.AI · cs.CL · cs.LG

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{X5QGPPJJMIJVBV343QB75MM6YK}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Cited by

4 papers in Pith

Diverse Evidence, Better Forecasts: Multi-Agent Deliberation Under Information Asymmetry

Building Social World Models with Large Language Models

Coordination as an Architectural Layer for LLM-Based Multi-Agent Systems

Foresight Arena: An On-Chain Benchmark for Evaluating AI Forecasting Agents

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-07-05T07:02:55.705831Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

bf6067bd29621350d77cdc03feb19ec2b27894e9ef72c832c3a1f8254aa21e17

Aliases

arxiv: 2310.13014 · arxiv_version: 2310.13014v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2310.13014 · pith_short_12: X5QGPPJJMIJV · pith_short_16: X5QGPPJJMIJVBV34 · pith_short_8: X5QGPPJJ

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/X5QGPPJJMIJVBV343QB75MM6YK \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: bf6067bd29621350d77cdc03feb19ec2b27894e9ef72c832c3a1f8254aa21e17

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "41d046bd9dd6d291eb3bde280845239cb57892c39e12b5c0729b56df7ccd340d",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "cs.AI",
      "cs.CL",
      "cs.LG"
    ],
    "license": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
    "primary_cat": "cs.CY",
    "submitted_at": "2023-10-17T17:58:17Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "ac5a13cc74ce91023529135b2b5021aa7bc47f526b15bbec576e894d5b16b9a8"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2310.13014",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}