A parameter-free algorithm for group-conditional online conformal prediction that achieves optimal coverage guarantees without learning-rate tuning.
Online conformal prediction via universal portfolio algorithms.arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.03168
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OLCP and OLCP-Hedge achieve long-run valid coverage in non-exchangeable online settings with narrower prediction sets by localizing conformal prediction to covariates and selecting bandwidth via online convex optimization.
The book curates and presents proofs of important existing results in conformal prediction in a unified pedagogical format with illustrations.
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Parameter-Free and Group Conditional Online Conformal Prediction
A parameter-free algorithm for group-conditional online conformal prediction that achieves optimal coverage guarantees without learning-rate tuning.
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Online Localized Conformal Prediction
OLCP and OLCP-Hedge achieve long-run valid coverage in non-exchangeable online settings with narrower prediction sets by localizing conformal prediction to covariates and selecting bandwidth via online convex optimization.
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Theoretical Foundations of Conformal Prediction
The book curates and presents proofs of important existing results in conformal prediction in a unified pedagogical format with illustrations.