A unified benchmark of 24 black-box UE methods for LLMs finds no universal winner but favors methods that reason over answer candidates and hybrid combinations of signals.
arXiv preprint arXiv:2503.02863 (2025)
6 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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2026 6representative citing papers
PluRule is a new multimodal multilingual benchmark showing that state-of-the-art vision-language models perform only marginally better than a trivial baseline at detecting specific rule violations in pluralistic online communities.
A composite loss with Brier calibration, anchor regularization, contrastive alignment from 2x2 perturbations, and KL stabilization reduces calibration error by over 60% in medical VQA while preserving accuracy.
Introduces Zoom-then-Diagnose paradigm and uncertainty-aware reward in GRPO for confidence-aware ultrasound VQA, reporting 39.3% improvement in lesion localization across liver, breast, and thyroid datasets.
CoMet decomposes MLLM uncertainty into context-specific and multiplicity-specific terms estimated by a trained post-hoc module, improving performance on open-ended multimodal benchmarks and hallucination detection.
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A Systematic Evaluation of Black-Box Uncertainty Estimation Methods for Large Language Models
A unified benchmark of 24 black-box UE methods for LLMs finds no universal winner but favors methods that reason over answer candidates and hybrid combinations of signals.
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PluRule: A Benchmark for Moderating Pluralistic Communities on Social Media
PluRule is a new multimodal multilingual benchmark showing that state-of-the-art vision-language models perform only marginally better than a trivial baseline at detecting specific rule violations in pluralistic online communities.
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Just how sure are you? Improving Verbalized Uncertainty Calibration in Medical VQA
A composite loss with Brier calibration, anchor regularization, contrastive alignment from 2x2 perturbations, and KL stabilization reduces calibration error by over 60% in medical VQA while preserving accuracy.
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Look-Closer-Then-Diagnose: Confidence-Aware Ultrasound VQA via Active Zooming
Introduces Zoom-then-Diagnose paradigm and uncertainty-aware reward in GRPO for confidence-aware ultrasound VQA, reporting 39.3% improvement in lesion localization across liver, breast, and thyroid datasets.
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CoMet: Context and Multiplicity Decomposition for Multimodal Uncertainty Estimation
CoMet decomposes MLLM uncertainty into context-specific and multiplicity-specific terms estimated by a trained post-hoc module, improving performance on open-ended multimodal benchmarks and hallucination detection.
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