A meta-analysis of 1490 BBH merger rate predictions from 57 studies shows substantial subsets reproduce or underestimate the observed rate, indicating that apparent crises are model-dependent rather than universal.
On the formation history of Galactic double neutron stars
7 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
abstract
Double neutron stars (DNSs) have been observed as Galactic radio pulsars, and the recent discovery of gravitational waves from the DNS merger GW170817 adds to the known DNS population. We perform rapid population synthesis of massive binary stars and discuss model predictions, including formation rates, mass distributions, and delay time distributions. We vary assumptions and parameters of physical processes such as mass transfer stability criteria, supernova kick distributions, remnant mass distributions and common-envelope energetics. We compute the likelihood of observing the orbital period-eccentricity distribution of the Galactic DNS population under each of our population synthesis models, allowing us to quantitatively compare the models. We find that mass transfer from a stripped post-helium-burning secondary (case BB) onto a neutron star is most likely dynamically stable. We also find that a natal kick distribution composed of both low (Maxwellian $\sigma=30\rm~km~s^{-1}$) and high ($\sigma=265\rm~km~s^{-1}$) components is preferred over a single high-kick component. We find that the observed DNS mass distribution can place strong constraints on model assumptions.
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background 2representative citing papers
First detection of relativistic angular deformation δ_θ in PSR J1757−1854 via MeerKAT-enhanced timing, ruling out two of four prior geometric solutions while confirming GR consistency for orbital decay.
A new redshift-correlation technique with third-generation GW detectors can constrain the BNS contribution to cosmic r-process nucleosynthesis to 5-6% precision via Fisher forecasts on mock bright- and dark-siren data.
Simulations with a new tidal model in COMPAS predict that merging binary black holes from isolated evolution are strongly biased to low effective spins, with one third below 0.05 and only 3% above 0.5, but the high-spin fraction rises to 15% at higher redshifts.
Host galaxy analysis rules out a globular cluster origin for the GRB 230307A kilonova and shows a disk-formed BNS merger with natal kicks can reach the observed offset in only 0.1% of population-synthesis realizations.
GWTC-3 catalogs 90 compact binary coalescence events with p_astro > 0.5 from LIGO and Virgo's first three observing runs, including the first confident neutron star-black hole binaries.
A review of existing waveform models for LISA sources and the challenges that must still be overcome.
citing papers explorer
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Lower Your Rates: On Claims of a Binary Black Hole Merger-Rate Crisis
A meta-analysis of 1490 BBH merger rate predictions from 57 studies shows substantial subsets reproduce or underestimate the observed rate, indicating that apparent crises are model-dependent rather than universal.
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Detection of relativistic orbital deformation from improved timing of PSR J1757$-$1854
First detection of relativistic angular deformation δ_θ in PSR J1757−1854 via MeerKAT-enhanced timing, ruling out two of four prior geometric solutions while confirming GR consistency for orbital decay.
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Inferring the role of binary neutron star mergers in r-process nucleosynthesis with multi-messenger observations using Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope
A new redshift-correlation technique with third-generation GW detectors can constrain the BNS contribution to cosmic r-process nucleosynthesis to 5-6% precision via Fisher forecasts on mock bright- and dark-siren data.
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Modern tidal interaction models for rapid binary population synthesis: II. Binary black hole formation, mergers, and spins
Simulations with a new tidal model in COMPAS predict that merging binary black holes from isolated evolution are strongly biased to low effective spins, with one third below 0.05 and only 3% above 0.5, but the high-spin fraction rises to 15% at higher redshifts.
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Probing the origin of the kilonova candidate GRB 230307A: analysis of host galaxy and offset
Host galaxy analysis rules out a globular cluster origin for the GRB 230307A kilonova and shows a disk-formed BNS merger with natal kicks can reach the observed offset in only 0.1% of population-synthesis realizations.
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Waveform Modelling for the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna
A review of existing waveform models for LISA sources and the challenges that must still be overcome.