Introduces the task of counterfactual time series forecasting with textual conditions plus a text-attribution mechanism that improves accuracy by distinguishing mutable from immutable factors.
Advances in neural information processing systems , volume=
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LeapTS reformulates forecasting as adaptive multi-horizon scheduling via hierarchical control and NCDEs, delivering at least 7.4% better performance and 2.6-5.3x faster inference than Transformer baselines while adapting to non-stationary dynamics.
MELO aggregates base predictors and their multi-scale EWLS adaptations using MLpol to achieve oracle inequalities against best fixed and time-varying predictors in non-stationary settings.
Synthetic data augmentation helps channel-mixing time series models but degrades channel-independent ones, with reliable gains only from seasonal-trend generators and gradual schedules in low-resource settings.
PULSE is a physics-informed plug-and-play framework that uses phase-anchored disentanglement, a Phase Router, and statistic-aware mixup to mitigate Phase Amnesia in non-stationary forecasting and achieve strong results with simple backbones.
MS-FLOW uses a capacity-limited sparse routing mechanism to model only critical inter-variable dependencies in time series data, achieving state-of-the-art accuracy on 12 benchmarks with fewer but more reliable connections.
A self-supervised method learns a fixed set of disentangled fingerprint tokens from medical time series by combining reconstruction loss with a total coding rate diversity penalty, framed as a disentangled rate-distortion problem.
PPM injects parametric structural priors into generative models via a learnable mapping to improve probabilistic forecasts on non-stationary MTS data.
citing papers explorer
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What if Tomorrow is the World Cup Final? Counterfactual Time Series Forecasting with Textual Conditions
Introduces the task of counterfactual time series forecasting with textual conditions plus a text-attribution mechanism that improves accuracy by distinguishing mutable from immutable factors.
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LeapTS: Rethinking Time Series Forecasting as Adaptive Multi-Horizon Scheduling
LeapTS reformulates forecasting as adaptive multi-horizon scheduling via hierarchical control and NCDEs, delivering at least 7.4% better performance and 2.6-5.3x faster inference than Transformer baselines while adapting to non-stationary dynamics.
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Hedging Memory Horizons for Non-Stationary Prediction via Online Aggregation
MELO aggregates base predictors and their multi-scale EWLS adaptations using MLpol to achieve oracle inequalities against best fixed and time-varying predictors in non-stationary settings.
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Does Synthetic Data Help? Empirical Evidence from Deep Learning Time Series Forecasters
Synthetic data augmentation helps channel-mixing time series models but degrades channel-independent ones, with reliable gains only from seasonal-trend generators and gradual schedules in low-resource settings.
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PULSE: Generative Phase Evolution for Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting
PULSE is a physics-informed plug-and-play framework that uses phase-anchored disentanglement, a Phase Router, and statistic-aware mixup to mitigate Phase Amnesia in non-stationary forecasting and achieve strong results with simple backbones.
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What If We Let Forecasting Forget? A Sparse Bottleneck for Cross-Variable Dependencies
MS-FLOW uses a capacity-limited sparse routing mechanism to model only critical inter-variable dependencies in time series data, achieving state-of-the-art accuracy on 12 benchmarks with fewer but more reliable connections.
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Learning Fingerprints for Medical Time Series with Redundancy-Constrained Information Maximization
A self-supervised method learns a fixed set of disentangled fingerprint tokens from medical time series by combining reconstruction loss with a total coding rate diversity penalty, framed as a disentangled rate-distortion problem.
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Parametric Prior Mapping Framework for Non-stationary Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
PPM injects parametric structural priors into generative models via a learnable mapping to improve probabilistic forecasts on non-stationary MTS data.
- TimeGuard: Channel-wise Pool Training for Backdoor Defense in Time Series Forecasting
- L-Drive: Beyond a Single Mapping-Latent Context Drives Time Series Forecasting