NumPyro delivers a JIT-compilable iterative NUTS sampler by composing Pyro effect handlers with JAX transformations, achieving faster performance than prior implementations.
MCMC Using Hamiltonian Dynamics, pp
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Uncorrected Gaussian residual penalties in full-space sampling converge after marginalization to the graph-lifted reduced posterior multiplied by the inverse absolute determinant of the state Jacobian, requiring explicit determinant corrections for equivalence.
A homotopy-plus-MCMC data-generation pipeline trains a mass-conditioned diffusion model that yields 40% more feasible initial costates and a better Pareto front for multiobjective indirect low-thrust transfers than adjoint-control-transformation baselines.
Predictively consistent priors let complex Bayesian models match or beat the out-of-sample performance of selected simpler models across linear, logistic, and nonlinear examples without explicit selection.
Bayesian E(3)-equivariant MLPs with joint energy-force NLL loss achieve competitive accuracy while enabling uncertainty-guided active learning, OOD detection, and calibration.
ATune combines Gaussian theoretical analysis with burn-in simulation data to select system-specific splitting integrators and hyperparameter credible intervals for improved HMC stability and performance.
Football fever in spectators follows a V-shaped time course captured as a latent process from heart rate and stress data via time-dependent structural equation modeling.
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To select or not to select: predictively consistent priors instead of model selection
Predictively consistent priors let complex Bayesian models match or beat the out-of-sample performance of selected simpler models across linear, logistic, and nonlinear examples without explicit selection.