Bayesian model selection over SMEFT operator subsets using a genetic algorithm and BIC approximation is applied to electroweak, Higgs, top and diboson data, finding no evidence for new physics and improved Wilson coefficient posteriors compared to global fits.
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Cepedaet al.,Report from Working Group 2: Higgs Physics at the HL-LHC and HE-LHC,CERN Yellow Rep
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abstract
The discovery of the Higgs boson in 2012, by the ATLAS and CMS experiments, was a success achieved with only a percent of the entire dataset foreseen for the LHC. It opened a landscape of possibilities in the study of Higgs boson properties, Electroweak Symmetry breaking and the Standard Model in general, as well as new avenues in probing new physics beyond the Standard Model. Six years after the discovery, with a conspicuously larger dataset collected during LHC Run 2 at a 13 TeV centre-of-mass energy, the theory and experimental particle physics communities have started a meticulous exploration of the potential for precision measurements of its properties. This includes studies of Higgs boson production and decays processes, the search for rare decays and production modes, high energy observables, and searches for an extended electroweak symmetry breaking sector. This report summarises the potential reach and opportunities in Higgs physics during the High Luminosity phase of the LHC, with an expected dataset of pp collisions at 14 TeV, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 3 ab$^{-1}$. These studies are performed in light of the most recent analyses from LHC collaborations and the latest theoretical developments. The potential of an LHC upgrade, colliding protons at a centre-of-mass energy of 27 TeV and producing a dataset corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 15 ab$^{-1}$, is also discussed.
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representative citing papers
An XFEL Compton gamma-gamma collider at 125 GeV with a set transformer deep learning classifier on particle-flow point clouds can achieve high-precision Higgs measurements across hadronic, semi-leptonic, and leptonic final states including H to strange quarks.
The scaled-energy distribution of B-mesons in Higgs decay is computed at NLO including b-quark and B-meson mass effects in the GM-VFNs scheme, showing enhancements in low-x_B from meson mass and in peak region from quark mass.
One-loop Feynman-diagram corrections in the scale-invariant THDM shift BSM Higgs masses by O(10%) and induce non-negligible neutral-scalar mixing, contrary to earlier effective-potential calculations.
FCC-ee projections show percent to per-mil precision on Higgs hadronic decay rates including first sensitivity to the rare H to strange-strange mode.
Temperature-dependent DM couplings mediated by a scalar field's VEV that drops after a first-order phase transition allow sufficient early-universe annihilations for the observed relic density while evading current direct detection bounds.
Higher-order Higgs couplings induce an electroweak-symmetry-breaking enhancement that makes Higgs-rich final states the dominant signals for scalar resonances and opens resonant multi-Higgs channels above a couple of TeV.
One-loop corrections in the complex Higgs triplet model shift the 125 GeV Higgs decay rates to WW* and ZZ* upward by a few percent relative to the SM, while allowing up to -20% deviation in gamma gamma and 100% in the self-coupling.
Observing vector boson fusion production of a heavy scalar followed by decay to Z h1 at muon colliders can establish CP violation in the scalar sector because it requires both h2VV and h2h1Z couplings to be nonzero.
Future e+e- colliders can constrain new physics through precision Higgs and electroweak measurements in Higgs-coupling, EFT, and SMEFT frameworks, with updated SMEFiT code released.
Updated constraints on two simplified dark matter models for the Galactic Center Excess leave unconstrained parameter space after applying recent multi-experiment data.
Updated LISA detection prospects for gravitational waves from phase transitions are derived from state-of-the-art sound-wave simulations, with a new web tool PTPlot provided for parameter scans.
Vector boson fusion processes at the LHC distinguish Higgs portal dark matter from neutralino dark matter at over 5 sigma using jet kinematics and a Kolmogorov-Smirnov test with linear discriminant analysis.
Muon colliders at 3 TeV and 10 TeV can probe branching ratios for h to SS decays in 4b and 2b2μ channels down to 10^{-3}–10^{-5}, improving on HL-LHC projections using machine learning.
Simulation projects 2.0 sigma significance for resonant Higgs production at FCC-ee, yielding an upper limit of kappa_e less than or equal to 1.35 at 95% CL on the electron Yukawa coupling modifier with 10 ab inverse luminosity.
The review summarizes the baseline SM+GR+Lambda-CDM framework, lists major anomalies and missing pieces, surveys theoretical and experimental approaches, and outlines a staged roadmap organized by decision points.
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Exploring the SMEFT landscape: Bayesian Model Selection for indirect discovery
Bayesian model selection over SMEFT operator subsets using a genetic algorithm and BIC approximation is applied to electroweak, Higgs, top and diboson data, finding no evidence for new physics and improved Wilson coefficient posteriors compared to global fits.
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Higgs Physics with the XFEL Compton $\boldsymbol{\gamma\gamma}$ Collider Concept at $\boldsymbol{\sqrt{s}=125}$ GeV
An XFEL Compton gamma-gamma collider at 125 GeV with a set transformer deep learning classifier on particle-flow point clouds can achieve high-precision Higgs measurements across hadronic, semi-leptonic, and leptonic final states including H to strange quarks.
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Hadron production through Higgs decay at next-to-leading order in the general-mass variable-flavor-number scheme
The scaled-energy distribution of B-mesons in Higgs decay is computed at NLO including b-quark and B-meson mass effects in the GM-VFNs scheme, showing enhancements in low-x_B from meson mass and in peak region from quark mass.
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Revisiting the Higgs-mass calculation in the scale-invariant THDM
One-loop Feynman-diagram corrections in the scale-invariant THDM shift BSM Higgs masses by O(10%) and induce non-negligible neutral-scalar mixing, contrary to earlier effective-potential calculations.
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Precision Measurements of Higgs Hadronic Decay Modes at the FCC-ee
FCC-ee projections show percent to per-mil precision on Higgs hadronic decay rates including first sensitivity to the rare H to strange-strange mode.
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Reviving WIMP dark matter with temperature-dependent couplings
Temperature-dependent DM couplings mediated by a scalar field's VEV that drops after a first-order phase transition allow sufficient early-universe annihilations for the observed relic density while evading current direct detection bounds.
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A Busy Higgs Signal
Higher-order Higgs couplings induce an electroweak-symmetry-breaking enhancement that makes Higgs-rich final states the dominant signals for scalar resonances and opens resonant multi-Higgs channels above a couple of TeV.
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Radiative corrections to decays of the 125 GeV Higgs boson in the complex Higgs triplet model
One-loop corrections in the complex Higgs triplet model shift the 125 GeV Higgs decay rates to WW* and ZZ* upward by a few percent relative to the SM, while allowing up to -20% deviation in gamma gamma and 100% in the self-coupling.
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Model-independent probes of CP violation in the heavy scalar sector at muon colliders
Observing vector boson fusion production of a heavy scalar followed by decay to Z h1 at muon colliders can establish CP violation in the scalar sector because it requires both h2VV and h2h1Z couplings to be nonzero.
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New Physics Reach through Precision at Future Colliders: a Multi-Pronged Approach
Future e+e- colliders can constrain new physics through precision Higgs and electroweak measurements in Higgs-coupling, EFT, and SMEFT frameworks, with updated SMEFiT code released.
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Testing Viability of Benchmark Dark Matter Models for the Galactic Center Excess
Updated constraints on two simplified dark matter models for the Galactic Center Excess leave unconstrained parameter space after applying recent multi-experiment data.
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Detecting gravitational waves from cosmological phase transitions with LISA: an update
Updated LISA detection prospects for gravitational waves from phase transitions are derived from state-of-the-art sound-wave simulations, with a new web tool PTPlot provided for parameter scans.
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Distinguishing Higgs portal and neutralino dark matter via vector boson fusion
Vector boson fusion processes at the LHC distinguish Higgs portal dark matter from neutralino dark matter at over 5 sigma using jet kinematics and a Kolmogorov-Smirnov test with linear discriminant analysis.
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Exotic Higgs Decays at a Muon Collider
Muon colliders at 3 TeV and 10 TeV can probe branching ratios for h to SS decays in 4b and 2b2μ channels down to 10^{-3}–10^{-5}, improving on HL-LHC projections using machine learning.
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Probing the electron Yukawa coupling via resonant Higgs boson production at FCC-ee via $e^+e^- \to H \to WW^*$ in lepton-plus-jets final states
Simulation projects 2.0 sigma significance for resonant Higgs production at FCC-ee, yielding an upper limit of kappa_e less than or equal to 1.35 at 95% CL on the electron Yukawa coupling modifier with 10 ab inverse luminosity.
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Fundamental Physics in 2025: Status, Decisive Targets, and Path Forward
The review summarizes the baseline SM+GR+Lambda-CDM framework, lists major anomalies and missing pieces, surveys theoretical and experimental approaches, and outlines a staged roadmap organized by decision points.