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Understanding Event-Generation Networks via Uncertainties

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arxiv 2104.04543 v2 pith:JWW7H67W submitted 2021-04-09 hep-ph cs.LG

classification hep-phcs.LG
keywords networkseventuncertaintiesuncertaintyanalogyassignbayesianbinned
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal

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Following the growing success of generative neural networks in LHC simulations, the crucial question is how to control the networks and assign uncertainties to their event output. We show how Bayesian normalizing flow or invertible networks capture uncertainties from the training and turn them into an uncertainty on the event weight. Fundamentally, the interplay between density and uncertainty estimates indicates that these networks learn functions in analogy to parameter fits rather than binned event counts.

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Forward citations

Cited by 6 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Neural Control Variates at LO and NLO

    hep-ph 2026-07 accept novelty 7.0 of 10

    Signed neural control variates from normalizing flows, combined with neural importance sampling, reduce weight ranges and negative weights for LO and NLO phase-space integration and event generation.

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    An agentic AI system with a physicist in the loop re-casts an ATLAS ttZ measurement into a global top-quark SMEFT fit and recovers injected coloron Wilson coefficients in a repeatable benchmark.

  3. Forecasting Generative Amplification

    hep-ph 2025-09 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A KS-test-based differential method and a Bayesian averaging method estimate generative amplification without holdout datasets and find amplification in selected LHC phase-space regions.

  4. Analysis-ready Generative Unfolding

    hep-ph 2025-09 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Generative unfolding is extended to handle backgrounds, acceptance, and efficiency effects in an unbinned, iterative pipeline, demonstrated at percent-level accuracy on Gaussian and Z+jets simulations.

  5. Higgs Signal Strength Estimation with Machine Learning under Systematic Uncertainties

    hep-ph 2025-08 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    SAGE, a dual-branch GNN trained under nuisance fluctuations, estimates the Higgs signal strength with near-nominal coverage (0.662-0.683) but wider intervals than the top FAIR-HUC leaderboard methods.

  6. Uncertainty in Physics and AI: Taxonomy, Quantification, and Validation

    stat.ML 2026-05 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    A unified taxonomy of uncertainty in ML for physics is introduced together with validation tools such as coverage, calibration, and proper scoring rules, illustrated on regression and classification tasks.

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