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Correlation of Theoretical Uncertainties in PDF Fits and Theoretical Uncertainties in Predictions

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arxiv 2105.05114 v3 pith:FDLJGYTB submitted 2021-05-11 hep-ph

classification hep-ph
keywords uncertaintiespredictionstheoreticalcorrelationsfitspdfsaccountaccuracy
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We show how to account for correlations between theoretical uncertainties incorporated in parton distribution function (PDF) fits, and the theoretical uncertainties in the predictions made using these PDFs. We demonstrate by explicit calculations, both analytical and numerical, that these correlations can lead to corrections to the central values of the predictions, and reductions in both the PDF uncertainties and the theoretical uncertainties in the prediction. We illustrate our results with predictions for top production rapidity distributions and the Higgs total cross-section at the LHC, using the NLO NNPDF3.1 PDF set which incorporates missing higher order uncertainties. We conclude that the inclusion of correlations can increase both the accuracy and precision of predictions involving PDFs, particularly for processes with data already included in the PDF fit.

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Cited by 3 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. A Determination of the Top Mass from a Global PDF Analysis

    hep-ph 2026-03 unverdicted novelty 6.0 of 10

    The top-quark pole mass is determined to be 172.80 ± 0.26 GeV from a global NNPDF analysis at approximate N³LO QCD including NLO QED, EW, and toponium corrections.

  2. A Determination of ${\alpha}_s(m_Z)$ at ${\bf aN^3LO_{QCD}}\otimes {\bf {NLO}_{QED}}$ Accuracy from a Global PDF Analysis

    hep-ph 2025-06 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    From a global QCD-QED parton fit with NNPDF4.0 methodology, the authors determine alpha_s(m_Z)=0.1194^{+0.0007}_{-0.0014}, consistent with the PDG average and recent lattice results.

  3. All-charm tetraquarks at hadron colliders: A high-precision fragmentation perspective

    hep-ph 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 5.5 of 10

    TQ4Q2.0 supplies the first complete, uncertainty-quantified set of NRQCD-based fragmentation functions for all-heavy tetraquarks, including nonconstituent channels and public grids for jet-associated production.

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