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A Meta-learning Approach to Reservoir Computing: Time Series Prediction with Limited Data

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arxiv 2110.03722 v1 pith:L3APIF3C submitted 2021-10-07 cs.LG

classification cs.LG
keywords approachdatameta-learningmodelchaoticcomputingdata-drivenlimited
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Recent research has established the effectiveness of machine learning for data-driven prediction of the future evolution of unknown dynamical systems, including chaotic systems. However, these approaches require large amounts of measured time series data from the process to be predicted. When only limited data is available, forecasters are forced to impose significant model structure that may or may not accurately represent the process of interest. In this work, we present a Meta-learning Approach to Reservoir Computing (MARC), a data-driven approach to automatically extract an appropriate model structure from experimentally observed "related" processes that can be used to vastly reduce the amount of data required to successfully train a predictive model. We demonstrate our approach on a simple benchmark problem, where it beats the state of the art meta-learning techniques, as well as a challenging chaotic problem.

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  1. Tailored Forecasting from Short Time Series via Meta-learning

    cs.LG 2025-01 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    METAFORS maps short unlabeled time series to tailored forecaster parameters and cold-start states, enabling accurate short-term and climate forecasts for unseen chaotic systems from as few as two data points.

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