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Implicit Deep Adaptive Design: Policy-Based Experimental Design without Likelihoods

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arxiv 2111.02329 v1 pith:R6RDHLMA submitted 2021-11-03 stat.ML cs.AIcs.LGstat.CO

classification stat.MLcs.AIcs.LGstat.CO
keywords designidadadaptiveimplicitexperimentsboeddeepexperiment
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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We introduce implicit Deep Adaptive Design (iDAD), a new method for performing adaptive experiments in real-time with implicit models. iDAD amortizes the cost of Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) by learning a design policy network upfront, which can then be deployed quickly at the time of the experiment. The iDAD network can be trained on any model which simulates differentiable samples, unlike previous design policy work that requires a closed form likelihood and conditionally independent experiments. At deployment, iDAD allows design decisions to be made in milliseconds, in contrast to traditional BOED approaches that require heavy computation during the experiment itself. We illustrate the applicability of iDAD on a number of experiments, and show that it provides a fast and effective mechanism for performing adaptive design with implicit models.

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    A hybrid framework alternates Bayesian experimental design for physics parameters with gradient-based calibration of a neural network model-discrepancy term, gated by an ensemble Kalman information-gain indicator.

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