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An asymptotic study of the joint maximum likelihood estimation of the regularity and the amplitude parameters of a periodized Mat{\'e}rn model
Statistics Theory · Submitted 16 Sep 2022
abstract compiled · 2026-09-23 · no language-model review
The authors' main claim The mean integrated squared error is also analyzed with fixed and estimated parameters, showing that maximum likelihood estimation yields asymptotically the same error as if the ground truth was known.
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The abstract, sentence by sentence
This work considers parameter estimation for Gaussian process interpolation with a periodized version of the Mat{\'e}rn covariance function introduced by Stein. Convergence rates are studied for the joint maximum likelihood estimation of the regularity and the amplitude parameters when the data are sampled according to the model. The mean integrated squared error is also analyzed with fixed and estimated parameters, showing that maximum likelihood estimation yields asymptotically the same error as if the ground truth was known. Finally, the case where the observed function is a fixed deterministic element of a Sobolev space of continuous functions is also considered, suggesting that a joint estimation does not select the regularity parameter as if the amplitude were fixed.
background contribution method result interpretation main claim
| # | sentence | role | the authors' own work | states the main conclusion | strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| s0 | This work considers parameter estimation for Gaussian process interpolation with a periodized version of the Mat{\'e}rn covariance function introduced by Stein. | contribution 0.48 | 0.46 | 0.03 | asserted 0.94 |
| s1 | Convergence rates are studied for the joint maximum likelihood estimation of the regularity and the amplitude parameters when the data are sampled according to the model. | contribution 0.92 | 0.84 | 0.12 | asserted 0.92 |
| s2 | The mean integrated squared error is also analyzed with fixed and estimated parameters, showing that maximum likelihood estimation yields asymptotically the same error as if the ground truth was known. | result 0.98 | 0.91 | 0.41 | asserted 1.00 |
| s3 | Finally, the case where the observed function is a fixed deterministic element of a Sobolev space of continuous functions is also considered, suggesting that a joint estimation does not select the regularity parameter as if the amplitude were fixed. | result 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.20 | hedged possibility 1.00 |
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The paper
Original abstract
This work considers parameter estimation for Gaussian process interpolation with a periodized version of the Mat{\'e}rn covariance function introduced by Stein. Convergence rates are studied for the joint maximum likelihood estimation of the regularity and the amplitude parameters when the data are sampled according to the model. The mean integrated squared error is also analyzed with fixed and estimated parameters, showing that maximum likelihood estimation yields asymptotically the same error as if the ground truth was known. Finally, the case where the observed function is a fixed deterministic element of a Sobolev space of continuous functions is also considered, suggesting that a joint estimation does not select the regularity parameter as if the amplitude were fixed.
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2 arXiv papers cite this in 5 sentences
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Although it is a rather strict assumption, quasi-uniformity is more general than the uniformity assumptions used in [ref] and [ref] .
Smoothness Estimation for Whittle-Mat\'ern Processes on Closed Riemannian Manifolds · Introduction · 0.97
Cites it as background 1 paper
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[ref] has studied the ML and LOO-CV estimators for the smoothness parameter in the Matérn model; see also [ref] .
Comparing Scale Parameter Estimators for Gaussian Process Interpolation with the Brownian Motion Prior: Leave-One-Out Cross Validation and Maximum Likelihood · Related work · 0.97
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The following result is a minor adaptation of the reasoning used by [ref] and [ref] , showing that the conjecture is verified more generally if $ϕ$ is bounded.
Asymptotic Bounds for Smoothness Parameter Estimates in Gaussian Process Interpolation · The deterministic case · 0.86
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