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The International Pulsar Timing Array checklist for the detection of nanohertz gravitational waves

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arxiv 2304.04767 v3 pith:ZQOEXLXH submitted 2023-04-09 astro-ph.IM astro-ph.COgr-qc

classification astro-ph.IMastro-ph.COgr-qc
keywords detectiongravitationalwavesprocesscredibledataiptanoise
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal

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Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) provide a way to detect gravitational waves at nanohertz frequencies. In this band, the most likely signals are stochastic, with a power spectrum that rises steeply at lower frequencies. Indeed, the observation of a common red noise process in pulsar-timing data suggests that the first credible detection of nanohertz-frequency gravitational waves could take place within the next few years. The detection process is complicated by the nature of the signals and the noise: the first observational claims will be statistical inferences drawn at the threshold of detectability. To demonstrate that gravitational waves are creating some of the noise in the pulsar-timing data sets, observations must exhibit the Hellings and Downs curve -- the angular correlation function associated with gravitational waves -- as well as demonstrating that there are no other reasonable explanations. To ensure that detection claims are credible, the International Pulsar Timing Array (IPTA) has a formal process to vet results prior to publication. This includes internal sharing of data and processing pipelines between different PTAs, enabling independent cross-checks and validation of results. To oversee and validate any detection claim, the IPTA has also created an eight-member Detection Committee (DC) which includes four independent external members. IPTA members will only publish their results after a formal review process has concluded. This document is the initial DC checklist, describing some of the conditions that should be fulfilled by a credible detection. At the present time none of the PTAs have a detection claim; therefore this document serves as a road map for the future.

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Cited by 5 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Optimal robust detection statistics for pulsar timing arrays

    astro-ph.IM 2025-09 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    In simulations, a new cross-correlation-only statistic NPMV detects a gravitational-wave background more often than the standard PTA statistic, improving detection probability by about 47% at the 5-sigma threshold.

  2. The MeerKAT Pulsar Timing Array: The first search for gravitational waves with the MeerKAT radio telescope

    astro-ph.HE 2024-12 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    The first MeerKAT PTA search reports Hellings-Downs correlations at about 3.4 sigma under some noise models, but the significance vanishes under slightly different assumptions, leaving the data ambiguous.

  3. The MeerKAT Pulsar Timing Array: The $4.5$-year data release and the noise and stochastic signals of the millisecond pulsar population

    astro-ph.HE 2024-12 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    The MeerKAT PTA data release finds a common red noise signal with amplitude log10 A = -14.25 to -14.28, larger than other PTAs, and provides detailed noise models for 83 pulsars.

  4. The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Harmonic Analysis of the Pulsar Angular Correlations

    astro-ph.HE 2024-11 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    A Bayesian harmonic analysis of the NANOGrav 15-year data finds the pulsar angular correlations are dominated by a quadrupole consistent with general relativity, but an unexplained monopole at about 4 nHz reduces the ...

  5. The SKAO Pulsar Timing Array

    astro-ph.IM 2026-07 accept novelty 3.5 of 10

    An SKAO PTA with ~174 millisecond pulsars can dominate nanohertz GW sensitivity within four years and enable continuous-wave detections plus anisotropy maps of the gravitational-wave background.

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