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Graph-based Neural Weather Prediction for Limited Area Modeling

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arxiv 2309.17370 v2 pith:K7A4NMQH submitted 2023-09-29 cs.LG stat.ML

Graph-based Neural Weather Prediction for Limited Area Modeling

classification cs.LG stat.ML
keywords arealimitedmodelingweatherapproachforecastinggraph-basedmethods
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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The rise of accurate machine learning methods for weather forecasting is creating radical new possibilities for modeling the atmosphere. In the time of climate change, having access to high-resolution forecasts from models like these is also becoming increasingly vital. While most existing Neural Weather Prediction (NeurWP) methods focus on global forecasting, an important question is how these techniques can be applied to limited area modeling. In this work we adapt the graph-based NeurWP approach to the limited area setting and propose a multi-scale hierarchical model extension. Our approach is validated by experiments with a local model for the Nordic region.

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Cited by 4 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. HourGlass: A probabilistic data-driven temporal downscaler for global and regional weather forecasting

    physics.ao-ph 2026-07 accept novelty 6.5

    HourGlass probabilistically reconstructs hourly weather evolution between 6-hourly forecast states using CRPS training on NWP trajectories, preserving skill and small-scale variability better than deterministic downscalers.

  2. Enhancing a high resolution data-driven weather prediction model with surface descriptors

    physics.ao-ph 2026-07 conditional novelty 4.5

    Surface descriptors cut 2 m temperature and 10 m wind MAE by 1.9% and 3.0% domain-wide (about 12% for urban temperature) in a stretched-grid data-driven weather model, and glacier removal raises temperature without re...

  3. Pointwise is Pointless? A Multimodal Ablation Study for Precipitation Nowcasting with Graph Neural Networks

    stat.ML 2026-06 unverdicted novelty 4.0

    A multimodal GNN ablation for Nordic precipitation nowcasting shows sparse point observations improve station and onset scores while NWP and CRPS losses improve radar-grid performance, indicating local and field skill...

  4. Prediction of Drought and Flash Drought in Africa at the Seasonal-to-Subseasonal Scale using the Community Research Earth Digital Intelligence Twin Framework

    stat.AP 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 4.0

    DroughtFormer predicts soil moisture, vegetation health, and related variables in Africa with skill out to 90 days that matches or exceeds climatology for most targets, but shows lower accuracy for precipitation and f...