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Is Mamba Effective for Time Series Forecasting?

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arxiv 2403.11144 v3 pith:D5X63564 submitted 2024-03-17 cs.LG

classification cs.LG
keywords mambatimecomputationallayermodelpatternsseriestransformer
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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In the realm of time series forecasting (TSF), it is imperative for models to adeptly discern and distill hidden patterns within historical time series data to forecast future states. Transformer-based models exhibit formidable efficacy in TSF, primarily attributed to their advantage in apprehending these patterns. However, the quadratic complexity of the Transformer leads to low computational efficiency and high costs, which somewhat hinders the deployment of the TSF model in real-world scenarios. Recently, Mamba, a selective state space model, has gained traction due to its ability to process dependencies in sequences while maintaining near-linear complexity. For TSF tasks, these characteristics enable Mamba to comprehend hidden patterns as the Transformer and reduce computational overhead compared to the Transformer. Therefore, we propose a Mamba-based model named Simple-Mamba (S-Mamba) for TSF. Specifically, we tokenize the time points of each variate autonomously via a linear layer. A bidirectional Mamba layer is utilized to extract inter-variate correlations and a Feed-Forward Network is set to learn temporal dependencies. Finally, the generation of forecast outcomes through a linear mapping layer. Experiments on thirteen public datasets prove that S-Mamba maintains low computational overhead and achieves leading performance. Furthermore, we conduct extensive experiments to explore Mamba's potential in TSF tasks. Our code is available at https://github.com/wzhwzhwzh0921/S-D-Mamba.

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Forward citations

Cited by 4 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Beyond Sensor Data: Foundation Models of Behavioral Data from Wearables Improve Health Predictions

    cs.LG 2025-06 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A foundation model of wearable behavioral data outperforms simple baselines and complements a PPG sensor model across 57 health detection tasks.

  2. KARMA: A Multilevel Decomposition Hybrid Mamba Framework for Multivariate Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

    cs.LG 2025-06 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    KARMA combines adaptive trend/seasonal decomposition, wavelet frequency decomposition, and Mamba blocks to forecast long multivariate time series, reporting state-of-the-art accuracy on several benchmarks.

  3. MCST-Mamba: Multivariate Mamba-Based Model for Traffic Prediction

    cs.LG 2025-07 reject novelty 4.0 of 10

    MCST-Mamba combines STAEformer-style adaptive embeddings with two Mamba blocks to jointly predict speed, flow, and occupancy, but its claimed state-of-the-art results rest on comparing aggregated multi-channel errors ...

  4. Quantum-Optimized Selective State Space Model for Efficient Time Series Prediction

    cs.LG 2025-08 reject novelty 2.0 of 10

    A single-qubit angle gate, implemented as a constant scalar, is inserted into a state-space recurrence and the resulting Q-SSM model is reported to match or beat several time-series baselines.

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