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Beyond Discrepancy: A Closer Look at the Theory of Distribution Shift

Machine Learning · Submitted 29 May 2024

abstract compiled · 2026-09-23 · no language-model review

The authors' main claim Instead of relying on the discrepancy, we adopt an Invariant-Risk-Minimization (IRM)-like assumption connecting the distributions, and characterize conditions under which data from a source distribution is sufficient for accurate classification of the target.

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arXiv ID2405.19156 (version 1)
Pith IDCWA2OJMH, Pith's permanent record of this paper and its review
CitationKamalika Chaudhuri, Nick Rittler, Robi Bhattacharjee. "Beyond Discrepancy: A Closer Look at the Theory of Distribution Shift." arXiv:2405.19156 (2024). https://pith.science/paper/CWA2OJMH
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What the abstract itself states, as probabilities: claims first 0.04 · states limitation 0.45 · human participants 0.02 · controlled comparison 0.06 · randomized assignment 0.01 · states quantitative result 0.10 · compares with prior results 0.57 · mentions code or data availability 0.02.

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arXiv listing abstract v1. Results and the main claim are underlined; .

Many machine learning models appear to deploy effortlessly under distribution shift, and perform well on a target distribution that is considerably different from the training distribution. Yet, learning theory of distribution shift bounds performance on the target distribution as a function of the discrepancy between the source and target, rarely guaranteeing high target accuracy. Motivated by this gap, this work takes a closer look at the theory of distribution shift for a classifier from a source to a target distribution. Instead of relying on the discrepancy, we adopt an Invariant-Risk-Minimization (IRM)-like assumption connecting the distributions, and characterize conditions under which data from a source distribution is sufficient for accurate classification of the target. When these conditions are not met, we show when only unlabeled data from the target is sufficient, and when labeled target data is needed. In all cases, we provide rigorous theoretical guarantees in the large sample regime.

background contribution method result interpretation main claim

What the classifier reports for each sentence. The number is the probability it gave the label.
#sentencerolethe authors' own workstates the main conclusionstrength
s0 Many machine learning models appear to deploy effortlessly under distribution shift, and perform well on a target distribution that is considerably different from the training distribution. background 0.99 0.09 0.04 asserted 0.81
s1 Yet, learning theory of distribution shift bounds performance on the target distribution as a function of the discrepancy between the source and target, rarely guaranteeing high target accuracy. gap 0.72 0.06 0.05 asserted 0.99
s2 Motivated by this gap, this work takes a closer look at the theory of distribution shift for a classifier from a source to a target distribution. contribution 0.93 0.71 0.04 asserted 0.64
s3 Instead of relying on the discrepancy, we adopt an Invariant-Risk-Minimization (IRM)-like assumption connecting the distributions, and characterize conditions under which data from a source distribution is sufficient for accurate classification of the target. method 0.59 0.88 0.26 asserted 0.95
s4 When these conditions are not met, we show when only unlabeled data from the target is sufficient, and when labeled target data is needed. result 0.84 0.92 0.18 asserted 1.00
s5 In all cases, we provide rigorous theoretical guarantees in the large sample regime. result 0.72 0.93 0.20 asserted 1.00

What kind of paper the classifier reports this is: theoretical result 1.00 · evidence from proof or derivation 1.00.

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Every quoted sentence on this record is the authors'. Every label is from Pith's closed vocabulary, with the probability shown beside it. Every number in the measurements table is the authors', checked by code. Record as JSON

The paper
Original abstract

Many machine learning models appear to deploy effortlessly under distribution shift, and perform well on a target distribution that is considerably different from the training distribution. Yet, learning theory of distribution shift bounds performance on the target distribution as a function of the discrepancy between the source and target, rarely guaranteeing high target accuracy. Motivated by this gap, this work takes a closer look at the theory of distribution shift for a classifier from a source to a target distribution. Instead of relying on the discrepancy, we adopt an Invariant-Risk-Minimization (IRM)-like assumption connecting the distributions, and characterize conditions under which data from a source distribution is sufficient for accurate classification of the target. When these conditions are not met, we show when only unlabeled data from the target is sufficient, and when labeled target data is needed. In all cases, we provide rigorous theoretical guarantees in the large sample regime.

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