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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting

As of 8 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 4 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2408.12036.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2408.12036 v2

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 4 of 4 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00

measured 4 of 4 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-07T12:03:10.604051Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-05-11T12:06:01.656016Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy0
  • unresolved0
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation 4206fdb4-2ab0-45c9-8bfb-4752d2fa8abb · inbound

Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters cites this paper.

Pitfalls in Evaluating Language Model Forecasters Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting

Reference 15

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:03:10.604051Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T12:03:10.604051Z digest=sha256:666709715b4a5da14faf755f4943649a4ef94e5263fbc8e308bd2a931d1635d0

Observation fcff3551-4a43-46d6-a969-14ebb6368de1 · inbound

Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents cites this paper.

Bench to the Future: A Pastcasting Benchmark for Forecasting Agents Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting

Reference 6

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T04:43:23.231002Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-07T04:43:23.231002Z digest=sha256:6aacfe4a7e3a856e786c7da5bcad3ea2d2cfad3e0b6c599dc36a002e2d43d4ac

Observation 36e5037c-8962-48e4-bb39-7d042a8e71ab · inbound

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting

Reference 18

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T12:06:01.658906Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-05-10T04:14:17.395227Z digest=sha256:8264198deee047c8e1c8e6707593edae170cb04512ef6ca1a850e6e47dbe0fd1

Observation 213d4584-4629-4f5e-a03e-a9e13f4567b3 · inbound

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs Reasoning and Tools for Human-Level Forecasting

Reference 18

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T19:33:20.775008Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-07-14T19:33:20.775008Z digest=sha256:035f8d55fc70575551cb898f7bd5606fde7178a21fa9d3cdf78f09cdb9c9e108