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Updated forecast for TRAPPIST-1 times of transit for all seven exoplanets incorporating JWST data

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arxiv 2409.11620 v1 pith:P2SZBE4I submitted 2024-09-18 astro-ph.EP

Updated forecast for TRAPPIST-1 times of transit for all seven exoplanets incorporating JWST data

classification astro-ph.EP
keywords transitforecastjwsttimesfuturetrappist-1analysisbeen
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The TRAPPIST-1 system has been extensively observed with JWST in the near-infrared with the goal of measuring atmospheric transit transmission spectra of these temperate, Earth-sized exoplanets. A byproduct of these observations has been much more precise times of transit compared with prior available data from Spitzer, HST, or ground-based telescopes. In this note we use 23 new timing measurements of all seven planets in the near-infrared from five JWST observing programs to better forecast and constrain the future times of transit in this system. In particular, we note that the transit times of TRAPPIST-1h have drifted significantly from a prior published analysis by up to tens of minutes. Our newer forecast has a higher precision, with median statistical uncertainties ranging from 7-105 seconds during JWST Cycles 4 and 5. Our expectation is that this forecast will help to improve planning of future observations of the TRAPPIST-1 planets, whereas we postpone a full dynamical analysis to future work.

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  1. JWST-TST DREAMS: NIRSpec/PRISM Transmission Spectroscopy of the Habitable Zone Planet TRAPPIST-1 e

    astro-ph.EP 2025-09 conditional novelty 7.0

    Using four JWST/NIRSpec PRISM transits and a new Gaussian Process retrieval that marginalizes over stellar contamination, the authors rule out cloudy, H2-dominated (≳80% by volume) primary atmospheres on TRAPPIST-1 e at >3σ.