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Local Prediction-Powered Inference

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arxiv 2409.18321 v1 pith:JHE3LPFW submitted 2024-09-26 stat.ML cs.LGstat.ME

Local Prediction-Powered Inference

classification stat.ML cs.LGstat.ME
keywords localalgorithminferencemultivariableprediction-poweredregressionspecificaccount
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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To infer a function value on a specific point $x$, it is essential to assign higher weights to the points closer to $x$, which is called local polynomial / multivariable regression. In many practical cases, a limited sample size may ruin this method, but such conditions can be improved by the Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) technique. This paper introduced a specific algorithm for local multivariable regression using PPI, which can significantly reduce the variance of estimations without enlarge the error. The confidence intervals, bias correction, and coverage probabilities are analyzed and proved the correctness and superiority of our algorithm. Numerical simulation and real-data experiments are applied and show these conclusions. Another contribution compared to PPI is the theoretical computation efficiency and explainability by taking into account the dependency of the dependent variable.

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Cited by 4 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. Prediction-Powered Linear Regression: A Balance Between Interpretation and Prediction

    stat.ME 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    PUMA uses model averaging to jointly handle uncertainties from model misspecification, tuning, and ML choice, delivering asymptotic in-sample and out-of-sample prediction optimality plus estimation consistency.

  2. Calibeating Prediction-Powered Inference

    stat.ML 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    Post-hoc calibration of miscalibrated black-box predictions on a labeled sample improves efficiency of prediction-powered inference for semisupervised mean estimation.

  3. High-Dimensional Statistics: Reflections on Progress and Open Problems

    math.ST 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 2.0

    A survey synthesizing representative advances, common themes, and open problems in high-dimensional statistics while pointing to key entry-point works.

  4. High-Dimensional Statistics: Reflections on Progress and Open Problems

    math.ST 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 2.0

    This review synthesizes representative advances in high-dimensional statistics, highlights common themes and open problems, and points to key entry works.