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Detection prospects for the GW background of Galactic (sub)solar mass primordial black holes

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Submitted 6 Oct 2024

abstract compiled · 2026-09-23 · no language-model review

The authors' main claim While this signal remains below the LISA detection threshold for viable $f_\text{pbh}\lesssim 0.01$, future GW observatories such as DECIGO and BBO could detect it if $0.01\lesssim M_{\rm pbh} \lesssim 0.1 M_\odot$.

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arXiv ID2410.04522 (version 2)
Pith IDJYMDCOPB, Pith's permanent record of this paper and its review
CitationFrans van Die, Ivan Rapoport, Vincent Desjacques, Yonadav Barry Ginat. "Detection prospects for the GW background of Galactic (sub)solar mass primordial black holes." arXiv:2410.04522 (2024). https://pith.science/paper/JYMDCOPB
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What the abstract itself states, as probabilities: claims first 0.03 · states limitation 0.98 · human participants 0.01 · controlled comparison 0.05 · randomized assignment 0.01 · states quantitative result 0.98 · compares with prior results 0.17 · mentions code or data availability 0.02.

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arXiv listing abstract v2. Results and the main claim are underlined; .

In multi-component dark matter models, a fraction $f_\text{pbh}$ of the dark matter could be in the form of primordial black holes (PBHs) with (sub)solar masses. Some would have formed binaries that presently trace the Milky Way halo of particle dark matter. We explore the gravitational wave (GW) signal produced by such a hypothetical population of Galactic PBH binaries and assess its detectability by the LISA experiment. For this purpose, we model the formation and evolution of early-type PBH binaries accounting for GW hardening and binary disruption in the Milky Way. Our analysis reveals that the present-day Galactic population of PBH binaries is characterized by very high orbital eccentricities $|1-e|\ll 1$. For a PBH mass $M_{\rm pbh} \sim 0.1 - 1 M_\odot$, this yields a GW background that peaks in the millihertz frequency range where the LISA instrumental noise is minimum. While this signal remains below the LISA detection threshold for viable $f_\text{pbh}\lesssim 0.01$, future GW observatories such as DECIGO and BBO could detect it if $0.01\lesssim M_{\rm pbh} \lesssim 0.1 M_\odot$. Furthermore, we anticipate that, after 5 years of observations, LISA should be able to detect $\mathcal{O}(100)$ (resp. $\mathcal{O}(1)$) loud Galactic PBH binaries of mass $M_{\rm pbh} \sim 0.1 - 1 M_\odot$ with a SNR $\geq 5$ if $f_{\rm pbh}=0.01$ (resp. $f_{\rm pbh}=0.001$). Nonlinear effects not considered here such as mass accretion and dynamical capture could alter these predictions.

background contribution method result interpretation main claim

What the classifier reports for each sentence. The number is the probability it gave the label.
#sentencerolethe authors' own workstates the main conclusionstrength
s0 In multi-component dark matter models, a fraction $f_\text{pbh}$ of the dark matter could be in the form of primordial black holes (PBHs) with (sub)solar masses. background 1.00 0.05 0.03 hedged possibility 1.00
s1 Some would have formed binaries that presently trace the Milky Way halo of particle dark matter. background 0.99 0.06 0.02 hedged possibility 0.71
s2 We explore the gravitational wave (GW) signal produced by such a hypothetical population of Galactic PBH binaries and assess its detectability by the LISA experiment. contribution 0.99 0.77 0.04 asserted 0.70
s3 For this purpose, we model the formation and evolution of early-type PBH binaries accounting for GW hardening and binary disruption in the Milky Way. method 1.00 0.86 0.02 asserted 0.94
s4 Our analysis reveals that the present-day Galactic population of PBH binaries is characterized by very high orbital eccentricities $|1-e|\ll 1$. result 1.00 0.93 0.13 asserted 1.00
s5 For a PBH mass $M_{\rm pbh} \sim 0.1 - 1 M_\odot$, this yields a GW background that peaks in the millihertz frequency range where the LISA instrumental noise is minimum. result 0.89 0.83 0.15 asserted 0.98
s6 While this signal remains below the LISA detection threshold for viable $f_\text{pbh}\lesssim 0.01$, future GW observatories such as DECIGO and BBO could detect it if $0.01\lesssim M_{\rm pbh} \lesssim 0.1 M_\odot$. result 0.82 0.81 0.36 hedged possibility 0.79
s7 Furthermore, we anticipate that, after 5 years of observations, LISA should be able to detect $\mathcal{O}(100)$ (resp. $\mathcal{O}(1)$) loud Galactic PBH binaries of mass $M_{\rm pbh} \sim 0.1 - 1 M_\odot$ with a SNR $\geq 5$ if $f_{\rm pbh}=0.01$ (resp. $f_{\rm pbh}=0.001$). result 0.98 0.80 0.23 hedged possibility 0.84
s8 Nonlinear effects not considered here such as mass accretion and dynamical capture could alter these predictions. limitation 1.00 0.15 0.02 hedged possibility 1.00

What kind of paper the classifier reports this is: theoretical result 0.75 · evidence from simulation or computation 0.91.

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Original abstract

In multi-component dark matter models, a fraction $f_\text{pbh}$ of the dark matter could be in the form of primordial black holes (PBHs) with (sub)solar masses. Some would have formed binaries that presently trace the Milky Way halo of particle dark matter. We explore the gravitational wave (GW) signal produced by such a hypothetical population of Galactic PBH binaries and assess its detectability by the LISA experiment. For this purpose, we model the formation and evolution of early-type PBH binaries accounting for GW hardening and binary disruption in the Milky Way. Our analysis reveals that the present-day Galactic population of PBH binaries is characterized by very high orbital eccentricities $|1-e|\ll 1$. For a PBH mass $M_{\rm pbh} \sim 0.1 - 1 M_\odot$, this yields a GW background that peaks in the millihertz frequency range where the LISA instrumental noise is minimum. While this signal remains below the LISA detection threshold for viable $f_\text{pbh}\lesssim 0.01$, future GW observatories such as DECIGO and BBO could detect it if $0.01\lesssim M_{\rm pbh} \lesssim 0.1 M_\odot$. Furthermore, we anticipate that, after 5 years of observations, LISA should be able to detect $\mathcal{O}(100)$ (resp. $\mathcal{O}(1)$) loud Galactic PBH binaries of mass $M_{\rm pbh} \sim 0.1 - 1 M_\odot$ with a SNR $\geq 5$ if $f_{\rm pbh}=0.01$ (resp. $f_{\rm pbh}=0.001$). Nonlinear effects not considered here such as mass accretion and dynamical capture could alter these predictions.

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3 arXiv papers cite this in 7 sentences

Each citing sentence is taken from the citing paper's LaTeX source and typed by Pith's classifier. A label appears at probability 0.8 or more (0.95 for support), a contest at 0.7 or more; the quoted words are the citing authors'. How each label was checked · JSON

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What it cites · 100 sentences without a confident label

Uses the method or tool of 15 papers
  • For the range of $f$ and $m$ considered here, typical values of $x_i$ are much lower than the $s-$comoving Hubble radius $ℋ_eq^-1≃6·10^9$, so that we can compute the evolution of the distance to the nearest neighbor using a Newtonian approximation, as in [ref] .

    The merger rate of primordial-black-hole binaries · Formation of PBH binaries · 0.86

  • The SNR is computed as follows [ref] : [equation] where we have defined [equation] Note that the parameter vector $$ does not include the inclination $$, which is averaged out from this expression.

    The construction and use of LISA sensitivity curves · Confusion noise from unresolved Galactic DWDs · 0.98

  • The SNR is computed as follows [ref] : [equation] where we have defined [equation] Note that the parameter vector $$ does not include the inclination $$, which is averaged out from this expression.

    2305.09372 · Confusion noise from unresolved Galactic DWDs · 0.98

Uses data or values from 18 papers
Compares with 9 papers
Cites as support 4 papers
  • Furthermore, since PBH models in the (sub)solar mass range with fractions $f>0.01$ are severely constrained by microlensing events [ref] , we shall hereafter present results for $f≲0.01$ only.

    No massive black holes in the Milky Way halo · Evolution of Galactic PBH binaries · 0.98

  • A refined model for $j(t)$ in RD would not have changed our results significantly, since angular momentum accretion is small in the RD era, and PBH binaries forming before equality have high eccentricities $|1-e_*|≲1$ [ref] .

    The merger rate of primordial-black-hole binaries · Time evolution of the reduced angular momentum · 0.99

  • A refined model for $j(t)$ in RD would not have changed our results significantly, since angular momentum accretion is small in the RD era, and PBH binaries forming before equality have high eccentricities $|1-e_*|≲1$ [ref] .

    Formation and Evolution of Primordial Black Hole Binaries in the Early Universe · Time evolution of the reduced angular momentum · 0.99

Cites as background 20 papers

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