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REVIEW 4 major objections 7 minor 16 references

Towards Multilingual LLM Evaluation for Baltic and Nordic languages: A study on Lithuanian History

T0 review · 4 major / 7 minor · reviewed 2026-08-10 · deepseek-v4-flash

Pith's one-line read GPT-4o outperformed every other tested model on Lithuanian and general history questions in all nine languages, and Nordic-tuned models did not beat general multilingual models, against the paper's initial hypothesis.

desk verdict Useful dataset and a plausible model ranking, but the cross-lingual conclusions are not yet secure because translation quality and statistical power are weak. read the letter →

arxiv 2501.09154 v1 pith:OLD7LJQ7 submitted 2025-01-15 cs.CL cs.AI

classification cs.CLcs.AI
keywords multilingualLLMevaluationLithuanianhistorymultiple-choicequestionansweringBalticlanguagesNordicmachinetranslationculturalalignmentGPT-4o
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal

The pith

A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.

The reading

This paper asks whether multilingual LLMs answer Lithuanian-history multiple-choice questions better when those questions are asked in culturally or historically connected languages. To test this, the authors translated 550 Lithuanian exam questions into Baltic (Estonian, Latvian), Nordic (Danish, Finnish, Swedish), and other (English, Ukrainian, Arabic) languages, then benchmarked a set of proprietary, open-weight, and Nordic-tuned models. The paper finds that GPT-4o beats every other tested model in every language, that the larger open-weight models form a clear second tier, and that Nordic-tuned models do not surpass general multilingual models. The conclusion is that shared cultural or historical context alone does not guarantee better performance, a result that matters for fair evaluation of LLMs on less-resourced languages.

What carries the argument

The carrying mechanism is the translated multiple-choice history exam: 550 Lithuanian questions drawn from the EXAMS dataset, machine-translated into nine languages, with Estonian and Latvian translated directly with DeepL and the other languages produced through an English pivot, plus a native-speaker quality check on 100 samples per language. Evaluation follows a fixed protocol: an English system prompt, four worked examples in the target language, the question with four lettered choices, and a parser that accepts a single capital letter as the answer. Comparing accuracy across the Nordic, Baltic, and multilingual groups is what turns the dataset into a test of whether cultural and historical alignment matters.

What would settle it

Retranslate the same 550 questions from Lithuanian directly into each of the nine languages with a human translator or an independent system, run the identical evaluation, and compare per-language accuracy; if the Baltic-language deficits and Nordic advantages shrink or vanish, the paper's cross-language conclusions are translation artifacts rather than model-knowledge effects.

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Extended reading notes

Core claim

The paper's central claim is that on this translated exam, GPT-4o consistently outperformed all other models across every evaluated language and language group, with its best average accuracy on Baltic and Nordic versions of the Lithuanian-related questions and a slightly lower score on the multilingual group. Its second claim is negative: the Nordic fine-tuned models, GPT-SW3 and a Nordic-adapted LLaMa3 8b, performed consistently across their supported languages but failed to surpass the general multilingual models, which rejects the authors' initial hypothesis that cultural or historical alignment improves accuracy. The paper also reports that smaller open models show notable accuracy gaps on Lithuanian-related questions in Baltic languages, even when asked in Lithuanian.

Load-bearing premise

The cross-language comparisons stand or fall on the machine-translated versions preserving each question's meaning, difficulty, and correct answer; translation quality varied by language pair, with annotator agreement as low as 55% for Estonian.

Editorial extensions

If this is right

  • The largest open-weight models, QWEN2.5 72b and LLaMa3.1 70b, form a clear second tier behind GPT-4o in every language group.
  • For smaller open models, Lithuanian-related history questions are hardest when asked in Baltic languages, including Lithuanian itself.
  • Nordic fine-tuned models perform consistently on Swedish and Danish but still trail general multilingual models, so region-specific pretraining did not add historical knowledge.
  • The paper's closing recommendation is that closing these gaps will require targeted datasets and fine-tuning strategies for lower-resourced languages such as the Baltic group.

Reading between the lines

Editorial extensions of the paper, not claims the author makes directly.

  • Because GPT-4o produced most of the translated test set, part of its measured advantage may come from having generated the very questions on which it is later scored; an independently translated version would separate model knowledge from data-generation familiarity.
  • The translation pipeline is inconsistent across languages, with Estonian and Latvian translated directly from Lithuanian and other languages routed through English, and annotator agreement is as low as 55% for Estonian, so some cross-language accuracy gaps may be translation artifacts rather than knowledge differences.
  • A parallel benchmark on history exams from other Baltic and Nordic countries, for example Estonian, Latvian, or Finnish history, would show whether the pattern is specific to Lithuanian content or generalizes across the language groups.
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Editorial analysis

A structured set of objections, weighed in public.

Desk editor's note, referee report, and a circularity audit.

Referee Report

4 major / 7 minor

Summary. The paper constructs a multilingual multiple-choice QA benchmark by translating 550 Lithuanian history exam questions from the EXAMS dataset into nine languages, grouped into Baltic (Lithuanian, Estonian, Latvian), Nordic (Danish, Finnish, Swedish) and multilingual (English, Ukrainian, Arabic) language groups. It evaluates a range of open and closed models, including GPT-4o, LLaMa 3/3.1/3.2, QWEN2.5, Mistral Nemo, and Nordic fine-tuned models (GPT-SW3 variants and NRD LLaMa3). The central claims are that GPT-4o consistently outperforms all other models across languages; larger open models (QWEN2.5 72b, LLaMa3.1 70b) perform well but show weaker Baltic alignment; smaller models show notable gaps on Lithuania-related questions in Baltic languages; and Nordic fine-tuned models do not surpass general multilingual models, which the authors interpret as evidence that shared cultural or historical context alone does not guarantee better performance.

Significance. If the findings are robust, the paper would be a useful contribution to multilingual and low-resource language evaluation, particularly for history-domain knowledge and for Baltic/Nordic language groups, which are underrepresented in LLM benchmarks. The authors provide a new translated dataset, a manual quality-validation effort with native speakers, and a broad model comparison including region-specific fine-tuned models. The central ranking (GPT-4o best, larger open models second) is plausible and consistent with prior work. However, the cross-lingual claims currently rest on translation comparability and single-run evaluations that are not sufficiently demonstrated, and one of the headline conclusions conflates model comparison with the language-alignment hypothesis. These issues are fixable within the manuscript's scope, so the work merits revision rather than rejection.

major comments (4)
  1. [§3, Appendix A, Table 3] The central cross-lingual comparison presupposes that the translated questions preserve meaning, difficulty, and answer-letter alignment equally across languages, but the evidence provided does not establish this. The translation pipeline is inconsistent: Danish, Finnish, Swedish, Ukrainian, and Arabic were translated via English (Lithuanian→English→target, with GPT-4o and DeepL), while Estonian and Latvian were translated directly from Lithuanian with DeepL. The manual validation shows widely varying inter-annotator agreement, with only 55% intersection for Estonian and 65% for Arabic, and no adjudication or third-annotator resolution is reported. Since the dataset has only 550 questions and each language group aggregates three languages, a systematic translation problem in one language could shift a group average enough to change the reported ordering (e.g., Baltic vs. Nordic for smaller models). The authors should use a single translation pipeline for all languages, or report and adjudicate per-language agreement and show that translation quality is comparable across groups, or explicitly restrict claims to differences that are robust to translation error.
  2. [§4, Tables 1–2 and Figures 3–5] All accuracy numbers come from a single generation per model-language pair (with seed set to 2 for open models and no sampling control for GPT-4o), and no confidence intervals or significance tests are reported. Several central differences are small: for GPT-4o, the LT-related average is 0.88 (Baltic), 0.87 (Nordic), and 0.84 (multilingual), and for QWEN2.5 72b the Baltic/Nordic gap on LT-related questions is 0.05. Given the per-language sample size of 550 and the stochastic nature of decoding, these differences are likely within sampling noise. The authors should report multiple runs with variance, or at least binomial confidence intervals or a paired significance test across languages, and temper claims about 'better performance' for language groups that do not survive such an analysis.
  3. [§3 (Data Preparation)] GPT-4o was used to translate the test questions into most languages, and the resulting test set is then used to evaluate GPT-4o itself. This is a confound rather than a proof of superior historical knowledge: if the machine translations contain systematic model-specific phrasing, or if answer choices are altered in a way that favors models trained on similar text, the higher GPT-4o scores could be an artifact of test construction. The manual validation addresses meaning preservation but does not check for model-specific bias. I recommend adding a control condition, such as evaluating all models on a human-translated subset or on the original Lithuanian questions with English prompts, to demonstrate that the reported ranking is not driven by the translation engine.
  4. [§4 (Nordic fine-tuned models, Table 2) and §5] The conclusion that 'shared cultural or historical context alone does not guarantee better performance' is not supported by the Nordic fine-tuned model comparison. The hypothesis stated in §3 is about the effect of prompt language on the same model, whereas the comparison of GPT-SW3 and NRD LLaMa3 against general multilingual models confounds model architecture, scale, and training data with cultural alignment. The GPT-SW3 models are much smaller (up to 6.7b) than the multilingual comparison models (up to 70b), and NRD LLaMa3 is a fine-tuned LLaMa3 8b. To test the alignment hypothesis, the same model should be evaluated on the same questions in different languages, which is done for the other models but not for the Nordic-specific models. The rejection of the initial hypothesis should be rephrased or supported by a matched comparison.
minor comments (7)
  1. [Table 2] The text states that NRD LLaMa3 was fine-tuned for Swedish, Norwegian, and Danish, but Table 2 reports only Swedish and Danish; please clarify whether Norwegian was evaluated and, if not, why it was omitted.
  2. [§1 and §3] Estonian is grouped under 'Baltic' for the geographic language-group analysis, but Estonian is not a Baltic language in the linguistic sense; a brief explanation of the geographic grouping would avoid confusion for readers.
  3. [Appendix A, Table 3] The agreement metric 'Intersect, %' is ambiguous: it is not stated whether this is raw percentage agreement on the 20 shared items, Cohen's kappa, or something else, and the denominator is not given; please specify the metric and the number of shared items.
  4. [§3 (Models benchmarking)] For GPT-4o, the paper does not specify the sampling temperature or other decoding parameters; since GPT-4o is evaluated only once, reporting these settings is important for reproducibility.
  5. [§4 (Results)] The sentence 'Mistral Nemo 12b scored the smallest scores comparing to other, even smaller (7-8b, 3b) models' is strongly worded; please verify that this holds for all language groups and question types, as Table 1 shows several cases where Mistral Nemo 12b is comparable to or better than LLaMa3.2 3b and LLaMa3 8b.
  6. [Throughout] Minor language issues: 'did not performed at par' (§4), 'from- and to-English' (§3), and inconsistent capitalization of model names (LLaMa, Llama, LLaMa3) should be corrected.
  7. [Appendix A] The GitHub repository is hidden for review and no dataset or code is released; for reproducibility, please provide a public link to the translated dataset, the annotation guidelines, and the evaluation scripts upon publication.

Circularity Check

0 steps flagged · score 0.0 of 10

No circularity: the evaluation is a direct empirical benchmark against an external dataset, with no fitted parameter or derivation whose output is fixed by an input.

full rationale

This paper reports an empirical evaluation: a fixed 550-question Lithuanian history subset of the EXAMS benchmark was machine-translated into nine languages and presented to ten model families; accuracy is measured directly from model outputs. There is no mathematical derivation, no parameter fitted to the evaluation data, and no 'prediction' that is constructed from the outcome it claims to explain. The use of GPT-4o (and DeepL) to produce translations is a potential confound for cross-linguistic comparability, since the translated instruments are not independently certified and annotator agreement is low for some languages (e.g., 55% for Estonian in Table 3), but this is a question of measurement validity, not circularity: even a biased translation does not make GPT-4o's ranking equal to the translation procedure by construction. Likewise, the result that Nordic fine-tuned models do not surpass multilingual models is an observed comparison against an external benchmark, not an artifact of the paper's definitions. No load-bearing self-citation or imported uniqueness claim is present. The central empirical claim is self-contained: it depends on the external EXAMS dataset and the recorded model answers, so circularity score is 0.

Assumptions & free parameters 0 free parameters · 6 assumptions · 0 invented entities

The evaluation relies on publicly available models and the EXAMS dataset. No new entities or fitted parameters are introduced. The main assumptions concern translation quality, language grouping, and single-run evaluation.

assumptions (6)
  • domain assumption The EXAMS Lithuanian history subset is a valid measure of Lithuanian history knowledge.
    The dataset is used as ground truth for correct answers; no independent verification of answer correctness is reported.
  • domain assumption Machine-translated questions preserve semantics and answer ordering.
    Manual evaluation covers only 100 samples per language and shows low annotator agreement for several pairs (e.g., LT-EST intersection 0.55).
  • domain assumption Estonian is treated as a Baltic language for grouping.
    Estonian is Finnic, not Indo-European Baltic, yet is grouped with Lithuanian and Latvian for the Baltic language-group analysis.
  • ad hoc to paper A single generation run per model-language pair is representative.
    Open models were run with random seed 2; no repeated runs or confidence intervals are reported.
  • domain assumption The answer parsing rule (capital letters A-D) reflects model choices.
    Models that output multiple letters or verbose text are counted as incorrect, which may penalize some models.
  • domain assumption The manual translation check on 100 samples justifies the full dataset.
    The check is partial, and inter-annotator agreement is as low as 55%, yet the full translated set is used.

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Cite this review

Pith. "Pith review of Towards Multilingual LLM Evaluation for Baltic and Nordic languages: A study on Lithuanian History." pith.science (2026). https://pith.science/paper/OLD7LJQ7

@misc{pith2026250109154,
  author       = {Pith},
  title        = {Pith review of: Towards Multilingual LLM Evaluation for Baltic and Nordic languages: A study on Lithuanian History},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://pith.science/paper/OLD7LJQ7}},
  note         = {Machine review of arXiv:2501.09154}
}
read the original abstract

In this work, we evaluated Lithuanian and general history knowledge of multilingual Large Language Models (LLMs) on a multiple-choice question-answering task. The models were tested on a dataset of Lithuanian national and general history questions translated into Baltic, Nordic, and other languages (English, Ukrainian, Arabic) to assess the knowledge sharing from culturally and historically connected groups. We evaluated GPT-4o, LLaMa3.1 8b and 70b, QWEN2.5 7b and 72b, Mistral Nemo 12b, LLaMa3 8b, Mistral 7b, LLaMa3.2 3b, and Nordic fine-tuned models (GPT-SW3 and LLaMa3 8b). Our results show that GPT-4o consistently outperformed all other models across language groups, with slightly better results for Baltic and Nordic languages. Larger open-source models like QWEN2.5 72b and LLaMa3.1 70b performed well but showed weaker alignment with Baltic languages. Smaller models (Mistral Nemo 12b, LLaMa3.2 3b, QWEN 7B, LLaMa3.1 8B, and LLaMa3 8b) demonstrated gaps with LT-related alignment with Baltic languages while performing better on Nordic and other languages. The Nordic fine-tuned models did not surpass multilingual models, indicating that shared cultural or historical context alone does not guarantee better performance.

Figures

Figures reproduced from arXiv: 2501.09154 by the authors.

Figure 1
Figure 1. Example of the dataset sample in Lithua [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p003_1.png] view at source ↗
Figure 3
Figure 3. Accuracy results per language for LT￾related history questions [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p005_3.png] view at source ↗
Figure 4
Figure 4. Accuracy results per language for gen￾eral history questions [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p005_4.png] view at source ↗
Figures from the paper (1 more)
Figure 5
Figure 5. Figure 5: Accuracy results per language for merged LT-related and general history questions. In conclusion, our experiments show that GPT￾4o performs consistently better across all tested languages and language groups on LT-related and general history questions. Larger open sour…

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