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Evaluating the faithfulness of PDF uncertainties in the presence of inconsistent data

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arxiv 2503.17447 v1 pith:HCSAUDME submitted 2025-03-21 hep-ph

Evaluating the faithfulness of PDF uncertainties in the presence of inconsistent data

classification hep-ph
keywords datainconsistenciesmodelneuraluncertaintiesinconsistencynetworkpdfs
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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We critically assess the robustness of uncertainties on parton distribution functions (PDFs) determined using neural networks from global sets of experimental data collected from multiple experiments. We view the determination of PDFs as an inverse problem, and we study the way the neural network model tackles it when inconsistencies between input datasets are present. We use a closure test approach, in which the regression model is applied to artificial data produced from a known underlying truth, to which the output of the model can be compared and its accuracy can be assessed in a statistically reliable way. We explore various phenomenologically relevant scenarios in which inconsistencies arise due to incorrect estimation of correlated systematic uncertainties. We show that the neural network generally corrects for the inconsistency except in cases of extreme uncertainty underestimation. When the inconsistency is not corrected, we propose and validate a procedure to detect inconsistencies.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. A linear PDF model for Bayesian inference

    hep-ph 2025-07 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    Presents a linear PDF parametrization from dimensionality-reduced neural network bases for efficient Bayesian inference, tested via multi-closure tests on synthetic deep inelastic scattering data.

  2. A Determination of the Top Mass from a Global PDF Analysis

    hep-ph 2026-03 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    The top-quark pole mass is determined to be 172.80 ± 0.26 GeV from a global NNPDF analysis at approximate N³LO QCD including NLO QED, EW, and toponium corrections.