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Forecasting the Impact of Source Galaxy Photometric Redshift Uncertainties on the LSST 3times2pt Analysis

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arxiv 2507.01374 v1 pith:CUOVTP6I submitted 2025-07-02 astro-ph.CO

Forecasting the Impact of Source Galaxy Photometric Redshift Uncertainties on the LSST 3times2pt Analysis

classification astro-ph.CO
keywords redshiftanalysiscosmologicallsstparameterssourcetraininggalaxies
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Photometric redshifts of the source galaxies are a key source of systematic uncertainty in the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST)'s galaxy clustering and weak lensing analysis, i.e., the $3\times 2$pt analysis. This paper introduces a Fisher forecast code FisherA2Z for the LSST Year 10 (Y10) $3 \times 2$pt and cosmic shear analyses, utilizing a 15-parameter redshift distribution model, with one redshift bias, variance, and outlier rate per tomographic bin. FisherA2Z employs the Core Cosmology Library CCL to compute the large-scale structure power spectrum and incorporates a four-parameter nonlinear alignment model for intrinsic alignments. We evaluate the impact of marginalizing over redshift distribution parameters on weak lensing, forecast biases in cosmological parameters due to redshift errors, and assess cosmological parameter sensitivity to redshift systematic parameters using decision trees. The sensitivity study reveals that for LSST $3\times2$pt analysis, $S_8$ is most sensitive to the mean redshift of the fourth out of the five source tomographic bins, while other cosmological parameters possess different sensitivities. Additionally, we provide cosmological analysis forecasts based on different scenarios of spectroscopic training datasets. We find that the figures-of-merit for the cosmological results increase with the number of spectroscopic training galaxies, and with the completeness of the training set above $z=1.6$, assuming the redshift information comes solely from the training set galaxies without other external constraints.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Results: Redshift Calibration of the Weak Lensing Source Galaxies

    astro-ph.CO 2025-10 conditional novelty 6.0

    DES Y6 weak lensing source galaxies now have calibrated redshift distributions with mean-redshift uncertainties 0.008–0.024, built from SOMPZ + clustering-redshift + blending corrections.

  2. Balancing bias, baryons, and scale cuts in LSST 3x2pt analysis

    astro-ph.CO 2026-06 unverdicted novelty 5.0

    A minimal bias model yields unbiased LambdaCDM constraints up to k_max=0.7 h/Mpc but biases neutrino mass estimates, while higher-order bias mimics baryonic suppression in LSST 3x2pt analyses using the new MGL pipeline.