Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

As of 5 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 20 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2508.11987.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2508.11987 v3

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 20 of 20 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00

measured 20 of 20 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-03T09:30:02.970530Z

measured 1 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved0
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

1
arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation 2c6923c7-26be-4d64-987e-d9bbd48a801e · inbound

CryptoBench: A Dynamic Benchmark for Expert-Level Evaluation of LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency cites this paper.

CryptoBench: A Dynamic Benchmark for Expert-Level Evaluation of LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 10

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-21T19:04:19.002830Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 9423e84a-2c86-49ad-8a40-bf144231d01e · inbound

FutureOmni: Evaluating Future Forecasting from Omni-Modal Context for Multimodal LLMs cites this paper.

FutureOmni: Evaluating Future Forecasting from Omni-Modal Context for Multimodal LLMs FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 48

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T09:30:02.970530Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 196c64bf-89fb-413e-b28c-2b56b81bc7d9 · inbound

AlphaForgeBench: Benchmarking End-to-End Trading Strategy Design with Large Language Models cites this paper.

AlphaForgeBench: Benchmarking End-to-End Trading Strategy Design with Large Language Models FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T02:44:07.502114Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 4086e844-9e3c-4fcb-a18a-802f58fa529d · inbound

Can Large Language Models Derive New Knowledge? A Dynamic Benchmark for Biological Knowledge Discovery cites this paper.

Can Large Language Models Derive New Knowledge? A Dynamic Benchmark for Biological Knowledge Discovery FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 34

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T02:57:48.014062Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1ed7b871-1ccc-472f-a463-cf997e854763 · inbound

PolyBench: Benchmarking LLM Forecasting and Trading Capabilities on Live Prediction Market Data cites this paper.

PolyBench: Benchmarking LLM Forecasting and Trading Capabilities on Live Prediction Market Data FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 24

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-13T19:18:09.288034Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 48732151-1919-4c5f-8780-dd801c8c8892 · inbound

Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents cites this paper.

Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 13

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-10T09:03:25.199111Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 556baddc-4576-4710-9977-bf4e6dec3c1d · inbound

Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents cites this paper.

Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 13

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T04:00:56.119896Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation d91d3864-7724-4c92-a51f-c4df51d6db85 · inbound

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 49

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T12:06:01.774340Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 62d6fa52-153a-4b9f-a7e6-ed961892fe05 · inbound

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs cites this paper.

Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 49

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-14T19:33:20.775008Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7f40aaea-1d2a-4ee3-9c25-17e7c5d5a533 · inbound

Analytica: Soft Propositional Reasoning for Robust and Scalable LLM-Driven Analysis cites this paper.

Analytica: Soft Propositional Reasoning for Robust and Scalable LLM-Driven Analysis FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 5

Resolution: malformed identifier; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T19:36:13.304505Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 955955d4-8963-4547-b622-7ae398e2a2f3 · inbound

LATTICE: Evaluating Decision Support Utility of Crypto Agents cites this paper.

LATTICE: Evaluating Decision Support Utility of Crypto Agents FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 5

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-12T08:56:25.143219Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 8db14471-a901-48f8-9ca3-f91bbcee7cea · inbound

KellyBench: A Benchmark for Long-Horizon Sequential Decision Making cites this paper.

KellyBench: A Benchmark for Long-Horizon Sequential Decision Making FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 4

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-09T05:05:11.975393Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 9c033e61-f46c-49ea-9e12-1086b2fcf378 · inbound

OracleProto: A Reproducible Framework for Benchmarking LLM Native Forecasting via Knowledge Cutoff and Temporal Masking cites this paper.

OracleProto: A Reproducible Framework for Benchmarking LLM Native Forecasting via Knowledge Cutoff and Temporal Masking FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 14

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T23:41:16.903338Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation c05e631b-632c-4b40-a531-c32f67559898 · inbound

Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI cites this paper.

Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 22

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-22T05:21:07.417427Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 072fb71f-1a39-485a-b248-f830b7ee8264 · inbound

Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI cites this paper.

Scientific reasoning does not reliably translate into scientific forecasting in frontier AI FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T13:31:44.585483Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 678056fa-82c0-40f5-a614-ed54691b3b26 · inbound

ForeSci: Evaluating LLM Agents for Forward-Looking AI Research Judgment cites this paper.

ForeSci: Evaluating LLM Agents for Forward-Looking AI Research Judgment FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 32

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-28T19:52:35.956187Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 8c22fc98-30b1-46c3-bb82-0facb0491dc9 · inbound

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning cites this paper.

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 45

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T10:58:02.668078Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 0e6c6222-9efe-4c32-b7eb-4f429394aa3d · inbound

Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting cites this paper.

Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 27

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T06:09:38.138934Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 90fd05a4-882d-4a58-b040-a52f4bdb448e · inbound

Diverse Evidence, Better Forecasts: Multi-Agent Deliberation Under Information Asymmetry cites this paper.

Diverse Evidence, Better Forecasts: Multi-Agent Deliberation Under Information Asymmetry FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 22

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T14:48:32.575741Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 498f3c86-cc5f-413e-9032-7a07a0b7f324 · inbound

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms cites this paper.

Decentralized Aggregation of LLM Predictions via Wagering Mechanisms FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction

Reference 37

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-11T19:31:58.491532Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.