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arxiv: 2512.10239 · v2 · submitted 2025-12-11 · 🌌 astro-ph.HE

Recognition: 2 theorem links

· Lean Theorem

EP250827b/SN 2025wkm: An X-ray Flash-Supernova Powered by a Central Engine and Circumstellar Interaction

Gokul P. Srinivasaragavan , Dongyue Li , Xander J. Hall , Ore Gottlieb , Genevieve Schroeder , Heyang Liu , Brendan O'Connor , Chichuan Jin
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Pith reviewed 2026-05-16 23:57 UTC · model grok-4.3

classification 🌌 astro-ph.HE
keywords X-ray flashsupernovamagnetarcentral enginecircumstellar interactionType Ic-BLXRF-SN
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The pith

A magnetar central engine powers an X-ray flash supernova through wind breakout in circumstellar material

A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.

The paper reports the discovery of EP250827b/SN 2025wkm, an X-ray flash with luminosity around 10^45 erg/s lasting over 1000 seconds and soft peak energy below 1.5 keV, accompanied by a broad-line Type Ic supernova at redshift 0.1194. It argues that the X-ray emission arises from magnetically driven winds from a long-lived magnetar and accretion disk breaking out at velocity 0.35c and colliding with circumstellar medium at radius 10^13 cm, generating emission through non-thermal free-free processes. This central engine also powers the supernova's double-peaked light curve and 20-day plateau via adiabatic cooling of disk outflows, magnetar spin-down, and nickel-56 decay, while the absence of radio emission rules out an on-axis energetic jet. A sympathetic reader would care because the model offers a unified, jet-free explanation for X-ray flashes tied to supernovae and shows how central engines shape both high-energy and optical transients.

Core claim

The collapse gives rise to a long-lived magnetar, potentially surrounded by an accretion disk. Magnetically-driven winds from the magnetar and the disk mix together and break out with a velocity ~0.35c and interact with an extended circumstellar medium with radius ~10^13 cm, generating X-ray breakout emission through non-thermal free-free processes. The disk outflows and magnetar winds power blackbody photospheric emission as they cool adiabatically and thermalize, producing the first SN peak. The spin-down luminosity of the magnetar and radioactive decay of 56Ni powers the late-time emission.

What carries the argument

Magnetically-driven winds from a magnetar and accretion disk breaking out at ~0.35c through circumstellar medium of radius ~10^13 cm to produce X-ray emission via non-thermal free-free processes while powering the supernova light curve.

If this is right

  • No on-axis energetic jet above 10^50 erg is present given the lack of radio detection under standard circumburst densities.
  • The soft X-ray spectrum, duration, and optical plateau arise simultaneously from the same wind-CSM interaction and energy injection.
  • Late-time emission is powered by a combination of magnetar spin-down and nickel-56 decay without requiring additional components.
  • This framework applies to the broader class of XRF-SNe discovered by wide-field monitors like EP.

Where Pith is reading between the lines

These are editorial extensions of the paper, not claims the author makes directly.

  • Similar events could be found in future X-ray surveys, allowing statistical tests of magnetar birth rates in core-collapse supernovae.
  • The model implies that polarization or line profile evolution in the optical could reveal the wind geometry even without X-rays.
  • Type Ic-BL supernovae without detected X-ray flashes might still harbor weaker central engines detectable only through detailed light-curve modeling.

Load-bearing premise

The X-ray emission originates specifically from non-thermal free-free processes in the magnetar and disk wind breakout through the circumstellar medium at the quoted radius and velocity.

What would settle it

Detection of bright radio emission inconsistent with the no-jet assumption or an X-ray spectrum that does not match non-thermal free-free emission would falsify the proposed breakout model.

Figures

Figures reproduced from arXiv: 2512.10239 by Abdusamatjan Iskandar, Alberto J. Castro-Tirado, Aleksandra Bochenek, Ali Esamdin, Amar Aryan, Annabelle E. Niblett, Anna Y. Q. Ho, Anthony L. Piro, Antonella Palmese, Ben Rusholme, Binbin Zhang, Brendan O'Connor, Cassie Sevilla, Chen Zhang, Chichuan Jin, Christopher L. Fryer, Constantin Tabor, Curtis McCully, D. Andrew Howell, Daniel A. Perley, Daniel Gruen, Dong Xu, Dongyue Li, Emilio Fern\'andez-Garc\'ia, Eric Burns, Eric C. Bellm, Estefania Padilla Gonzalez, Frank J. Masci, Genevieve Schroeder, Giacomo Terreran, Gokul P. Srinivasaragavan, Grace Daja, Gursimran Bhullar, Han-Long Peng, Heyang Liu, Huaqing Chen, Hui Sun, Ignacio P\'erez-Garc\'ia, Jennifer Faba-Moreno, Jesper Sollerman, Jialian Liu, Ji-an Jiang, Jie An, Jingwei Hu, Joahan Castaneda Jaims, Johan P.U. Fynbo, Joseph Farah, Josiah Purdum, Jule Augustin, Julius Gassert, Kangrui Ni, Kanthanakorn Noysena, Kathryn Wynn, Krittapas Chanchaiworawit, Letian Wang, Linbo He, Lin Yan, Malte Busmann, Mansi Kasliwal, Maria D. Caballero-Garc\'ia, Maria Edvige Ravasio, Maria Gritsevich, Matthew Graham, M. Coleman Miller, Megan Newsome, Moira Andrews, Niharika Sravan, Nikhil Sarin, Ning Jiang, Ore Gottlieb, Pablo Vega, Qinyu Wu, Robert Stein, Roger Smith, Rub\'en S\'anchez-Ram\'irez, Runduo Liang, Samaporn Tinyanont, Sam Rose, S. Bradley Cenko, Sergiy Guziy, Shaoyu Fu, Shashi B. Pandey, Shengyu Yan, Shreya Anand, Shuaijiao Jiang, Siyu Wu, Tao An, Tinggu Wang, Tom\'as Ahumada, Weimin Yuan, Wenxiong Li, Xander J. Hall, Xiaofeng Wang, Xiaoxiong Zuo, Xing Liu, Xuefeng Wu, You-Dong Hu, Yuan Liu, Yujia Song, Yu-Jing Qin, Yunfei Xu, Zhixing Ling, Zipei Zhu.

Figure 1
Figure 1. Figure 1: Left: The WXT image of EP250827b. The green circle represents the 9 arcmin aperture used for extracting the spectrum and the light curve of EP250827b. The dashed annulus with inner and outer radius of 18 arcmin and 36 arcmin indicates the background region. Right: The EP-WXT light curve of EP250827b. The vertical dashed line indicate the start time of the flare derived with the Bayesian block method [PITH… view at source ↗
Figure 2
Figure 2. Figure 2: The EP-WXT observed spectrum and the predicted best￾fit absorbed power-law model. Data are presented as the count rate spectrum with 1σ uncertainties. 3. ANALYSIS In this section we present analysis of EP250827b’s X-ray emission, SN 2025wkm’s LC, and the radio observations of the source. 3.1. X-ray Analysis The WXT spectrum was analyzed with XSPEC (v12.14.0; Arnaud 1996) using an absorbed power-law (tbabs … view at source ↗
Figure 3
Figure 3. Figure 3: Comparison of 0.3 – 10 keV X-ray upper limits of EP250827b/SN 2025kg (black points) to the X-ray LCs of GRB 230812B/SN 2023pel (Srinivasaragavan et al. 2024a; Hussenot￾Desenonges et al. 2023), LLGRB 060218a/SN 2006aj (Campana et al. 2006), EP250108a/SN 2025kg (Srinivasaragavan et al. 2025), EP240414a/SN 2024gsa (Sun et al. 2025), and double-peaked SN Ic-BL SN 2020bvc (Ho et al. 2020a), with times in the re… view at source ↗
Figure 4
Figure 4. Figure 4: Light Curve of EP250827b/SN 2025wkm in UVM2, UVW1, and grizJ bands, corrected for Milky Way extinction. We show the time of explosion t0 with a vertical dotted line. In addition, we show the LC of EP250108a/SN 2025kg (Srinivasaragavan et al. 2025) for comparison. The photometry is compiled using multiple different telescopes, and the process used to compile the LC is described in §3.2. A full table of the … view at source ↗
Figure 5
Figure 5. Figure 5: g-band LC of SN 2025wkm, in comparison to other double-peaked SN Ic-BL, including the g-band LCs of EP250108a/SN 2025kg (Srinivasaragavan et al. 2025), SN 2020bvc (Ho et al. 2020a), and the B-band LC of XRF060218/SN 2006aj (Modjaz et al. 2006). Due to exquisite gri-band photometric coverage across the LC, along with the supplementation of one UV epoch, and multiple epochs in z and J band, we are able to co… view at source ↗
Figure 6
Figure 6. Figure 6: Bolometric luminosity LC of SN 2025wkm, computed through fitting blackbodies to SEDs binned every 0.75 days. We also show the bolometric luminosity LCs of SN 2025kg (Srini￾vasaragavan et al. 2025) and SN 2006aj (Modjaz et al. 2006). of a large sample of stripped-envelope SNe with broadband coverage. The bolometric luminosity LC of XRF060218/SN 2006aj was computed using a similar method that we used, utiliz… view at source ↗
Figure 7
Figure 7. Figure 7: Temperature and Radius evolution as a function of time, from fitting blackbodies to SEDs binned every 0.5 days. In addition, the early-time behavior within the three days is unlike what is seen for most SNe Ic-BL. The plateau in temperature and decline in radius may be an artifact of the fitting procedure due to degeneracies between the blackbody temperature and radius. However, it is physically possible i… view at source ↗
Figure 8
Figure 8. Figure 8: Spectra series of EP250827b/SN 2025wkm, with host galaxy emission lines clipped, along with the phase of the spectrum and the instrument it was taken on. The spectra start as a blue, mostly featureless continuum, and then evolve to redder SN spectra, with clear, broad absorption features. The lack of H and He and broad features allow for a classification of SN Ic-BL. We also show selected spectra of EP2501… view at source ↗
Figure 9
Figure 9. Figure 9: Close-up spectra of EP250827b/SN 2025wkm at 3.8 days and 18.8 days +t0 (rest-frame). Comparison spectra of XRF060218/SN 2006aj (Modjaz et al. 2006) and EP250108a/SN 2025kg (Srinivasaragavan et al. 2025) are also shown, at similar phases. Some host galaxy emission lines are clipped for viewing purposes. In the top panel, we also fit a blackbody spectrum to each of the spectra, and show the derived blackbody… view at source ↗
Figure 10
Figure 10. Figure 10: Photospheric velocity evolution for SN 2025wkm, compared to other prominent XRF and GRB–SNe (SN 1998bw, Iwamoto et al. 1998; SN 2006aj, Mazzali et al. 2006; SN 2025kg, Srinivasaragavan et al. 2025) and double-peaked SN Ic-BL 2020bvc, Ho et al. 2020a), with times in the rest frame. a photospheric line may be present at this stage in the LC’s evolution. We then try to estimate the host-galaxy extinction by … view at source ↗
Figure 12
Figure 12. Figure 12: The 10 GHz radio light curve of EP250827b (blue stars), where we use the detection of the host galaxy as upper lim￾its on the radio emission. Also shown are the radio light curves of LLGRB 980425/SN 1998BW (Kulkarni et al. 1998; Waxman et al. 1998), XRF060218/SN 2006aj (Soderberg et al. 2006b), XRF 020903 (Soderberg et al. 2004), the SNe Ic-BL 2020bvc (Ho et al. 2020b), and EP events EP240414A/SN 2024gsa … view at source ↗
Figure 13
Figure 13. Figure 13: Fitting of radioactive decay model of Arnett (1982) to the photometry of SN 2025wkm after 7 days, with the Nickel frac￾tion set to a physically reasonable value fNi = 0.3. We show the maximum likelihood fit and the 90% credible interval [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p019_13.png] view at source ↗
Figure 14
Figure 14. Figure 14: Fitting of the magnetar model from Omand & Sarin (2024) to the photometry of SN 2025wkm after 7 days. We show the maximum likelihood fit and the 90% credible interval. L0 =2.0 × 1047P −4 0,−3B 2 14 erg s−1 , (13) tSD =1.3 × 105P 2 0,−3B −2 14 MNS 1.4M⊙ ! s, (14) where P0,−3 = P0/10−3 in seconds and B14 = B/1014 in Gauss (Omand & Sarin 2024). MNS is the mass of the neu￾tron star, which we assume is 1.4 M⊙.… view at source ↗
Figure 15
Figure 15. Figure 15: Semi-analytic fit of a subrelativistic energy distribution to the early time data up to t ≈ 3.5 days. Re ∼ 1013 cm, derived in §4.2, and expands adiabatically to power cooling emission. At each observed time, the trapping radius of the ejecta is a shell moving with dimensionless velocity β, mass m, and thermal energy Eth, assumed to be in equipartition with the kinetic component E = m(βc) 2 /2 upon breako… view at source ↗
Figure 16
Figure 16. Figure 16: Artistic depiction of the magnetar-driven disk cooling model presented in §5.2 [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p024_16.png] view at source ↗
Figure 17
Figure 17. Figure 17: r-band rest-frame LCs of EP XRF-SNe, shown in the rest frame (van Dalen et al. 2025; Srinivasaragavan et al. 2025), along with XRF060218 (Modjaz et al. 2006). The LCs show clear diversity in shape and brightness, ranging four orders of magnitude. order of magnitude smaller. As mentioned in §4, this low￾density environment is necessary to explain the high speeds and temperature of the ejecta at early-times… view at source ↗
Figure 18
Figure 18. Figure 18: The Amati et al. (2002) relation, or peak energies (Ep,i) of GRBs and XRFs plotted against their rest-frame isotropic equiva￾lent (Eiso). GRBs are categorized into LGRBs (red), GRB-SNe (red with open circles), short GRBs (blue), short GRBs with extended emission (blue with open circles), and EP XRF-SNe (maroon) and XRF060218. The sample is created from Minaev & Pozanenko (2020). The relation is explicitly… view at source ↗
Figure 19
Figure 19. Figure 19: Corner plot of fitting a Arnett (1982) radioactive decay model to the late-time SN LC at t0 + 7 days [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p042_19.png] view at source ↗
Figure 20
Figure 20. Figure 20: Corner plot of fitting a combination of a Arnett (1982) radioactive decay model and spindown of a millisecond magnetar (Sarin et al. 2022; Omand & Sarin 2024) the late-time SN LC at t0 + 7 days [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p043_20.png] view at source ↗
read the original abstract

We present the discovery of EP250827b/SN 2025wkm, an X-ray Flash (XRF) discovered by the Einstein Probe (EP), accompanied by a broad-line Type Ic supernova (SN Ic-BL) at $z = 0.1194$. EP250827b possesses a prompt X-ray luminosity of $\sim 10^{45} \, \rm{erg \, s^{-1}}$, lasts over 1000 seconds, and has a peak energy $E_{\rm{p}} < 1.5$ keV at 90\% confidence. SN 2025wkm possesses a double-peaked optical light curve (LC), though its bolometric luminosity plateaus after its initial peak for $\sim 20$ days, consistent with a central engine injecting additional energy into the explosion. Its spectrum transitions from a blue to red continuum with clear blueshifted broad absorption features consistent with a SN Ic-BL classification. We do not detect any transient radio emission and rule out the existence of an on-axis, energetic jet $\gtrsim 10^{50}~$erg assuming a typical LGRB circumburst constant density ($n \approx 10^{-3}$--$10^{-1}~{\rm cm}^{-3}$) and microphysical parameters ($\epsilon_{\rm e} = 0.1$ and $\epsilon_{\rm B} = 0.01$). In the model we invoke, the collapse gives rise to a long-lived magnetar, potentially surrounded by an accretion disk. Magnetically--driven winds from the magnetar and the disk mix together and break out with a velocity $\sim 0.35c$ and interact with an extended circumstellar medium with radius $\sim 10^{13}$ cm, generating X-ray breakout emission through non-thermal free-free processes. The disk outflows and magnetar winds power blackbody photospheric emission as they cool adiabatically and thermalize, producing the first SN peak. The spin-down luminosity of the magnetar and radioactive decay of $^{56}$Ni powers the late-time emission. We end by discussing the landscape of XRF-SNe within the context of EP's recent discoveries.

Editorial analysis

A structured set of objections, weighed in public.

Desk editor's note, referee report, simulated authors' rebuttal, and a circularity audit. Tearing a paper down is the easy half of reading it; the pith above is the substance, this is the friction.

Referee Report

2 major / 2 minor

Summary. The manuscript reports the discovery of EP250827b/SN 2025wkm, an X-ray flash (XRF) with prompt luminosity ~10^45 erg s^-1, duration >1000 s, and soft spectrum (E_p < 1.5 keV) at z=0.1194, accompanied by a broad-line Type Ic supernova (SN Ic-BL) exhibiting a double-peaked optical light curve with a ~20-day bolometric plateau. Radio non-detection rules out an on-axis energetic jet. The authors invoke a central-engine model in which collapse produces a long-lived magnetar possibly with an accretion disk; magnetically driven winds from the magnetar and disk break out at ~0.35c through an extended CSM shell of radius ~10^13 cm, producing the X-ray flash via non-thermal free-free emission, while the outflows and magnetar spin-down plus 56Ni decay power the optical peaks and late-time emission.

Significance. If the model is substantiated, the work contributes to the emerging sample of XRF-SNe by linking soft X-ray flashes, SN Ic-BL spectra, and central-engine signatures in the Einstein Probe era. The observational constraints (X-ray duration and spectrum, optical plateau, radio upper limits) are directly supported by data and useful for population studies. However, the significance is limited by the model's reliance on order-of-magnitude parameters selected to match the data rather than derived from first principles.

major comments (2)
  1. [model description] In the model description (following the observational results), the breakout velocity of ~0.35c and CSM radius of ~10^13 cm are presented as values that reproduce the observed X-ray breakout timescale, luminosity, and soft spectrum via non-thermal free-free processes. These parameters are not derived from the magnetar dipole field strength, initial spin period, or disk accretion rate, nor checked for consistency with the measured SN expansion velocity or double-peaked light-curve morphology, rendering the central claim circular.
  2. [model description] The assumption that the X-ray emission arises specifically from non-thermal free-free processes in the wind-CSM interaction simultaneously explains the soft spectrum (E_p < 1.5 keV), duration, and optical plateau, but no quantitative spectral modeling, radiative transfer calculation, or comparison to the observed X-ray data is shown to verify this mechanism over alternatives.
minor comments (2)
  1. [abstract] Clarify whether the ~20-day plateau refers to the duration after the initial peak or the total time the luminosity remains flat; this affects how the central-engine energy injection is quantified.
  2. [discussion] The discussion of the XRF-SN landscape would benefit from explicit comparison to previously reported events (e.g., other EP discoveries or known XRF-SNe) to highlight what is unique about EP250827b/SN 2025wkm.

Simulated Author's Rebuttal

2 responses · 0 unresolved

We thank the referee for their constructive comments on our manuscript. We address each major comment below and indicate where revisions will be made to improve the clarity and rigor of the model description.

read point-by-point responses
  1. Referee: In the model description (following the observational results), the breakout velocity of ~0.35c and CSM radius of ~10^13 cm are presented as values that reproduce the observed X-ray breakout timescale, luminosity, and soft spectrum via non-thermal free-free processes. These parameters are not derived from the magnetar dipole field strength, initial spin period, or disk accretion rate, nor checked for consistency with the measured SN expansion velocity or double-peaked light-curve morphology, rendering the central claim circular.

    Authors: We appreciate the referee pointing out the need for better justification of the model parameters. While a complete derivation from first principles would require extensive numerical simulations not feasible in this discovery paper, the chosen values are motivated by typical magnetar properties and are consistent with the observed SN features. The velocity ~0.35c matches the broad absorption lines in the optical spectra indicating high-velocity ejecta. The CSM radius of ~10^13 cm corresponds to the light travel time consistent with the X-ray duration and the onset of the optical plateau. In the revised version, we will add explicit consistency checks with the SN expansion velocity and light curve morphology, and provide rough estimates of the required magnetar parameters (e.g., spin period and magnetic field) that could produce such winds. We maintain that the model is not circular but rather a physically motivated scenario supported by multiple observational constraints including the radio non-detection. revision: partial

  2. Referee: The assumption that the X-ray emission arises specifically from non-thermal free-free processes in the wind-CSM interaction simultaneously explains the soft spectrum (E_p < 1.5 keV), duration, and optical plateau, but no quantitative spectral modeling, radiative transfer calculation, or comparison to the observed X-ray data is shown to verify this mechanism over alternatives.

    Authors: We agree that additional quantitative support for the emission mechanism would be beneficial. The current manuscript presents a phenomenological model where non-thermal free-free emission is invoked to explain the soft X-ray spectrum and long duration. To address this, we will include in the revision a basic calculation of the expected free-free spectrum from the shocked wind-CSM interface, demonstrating that it can produce a peak energy below 1.5 keV for the given temperatures and densities. We will also compare this to the observed X-ray spectrum from EP and discuss why alternatives such as synchrotron or thermal emission are less favored given the radio upper limits and the soft spectrum. Full radiative transfer modeling is beyond the scope of this work and will be pursued in future studies. revision: partial

Circularity Check

0 steps flagged

No significant circularity detected; model parameters invoked to explain data without reduction to inputs by construction.

full rationale

The paper invokes a central-engine model with a long-lived magnetar plus disk, where winds break out at ~0.35c and interact with CSM at ~10^13 cm to produce the X-ray flash via non-thermal free-free emission, while also powering the optical plateau and late-time light curve. These values are presented as part of the invoked scenario that simultaneously accounts for the observed X-ray luminosity, duration, spectrum, and double-peaked optical behavior. No equations or derivation steps are shown that derive the breakout velocity or CSM radius from magnetar spin-down, dipole field, or accretion rate and then use the same quantities to 'predict' the X-ray or optical data. No self-citations are load-bearing for uniqueness theorems, no ansatz is smuggled, and no known result is merely renamed. The explanation is therefore an interpretive model fit to the observations rather than a closed circular derivation, making the chain self-contained against external benchmarks.

Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger

2 free parameters · 2 axioms · 1 invented entities

The model rests on standard supernova and magnetar physics plus several parameters chosen to match the observed X-ray luminosity, duration, and optical plateau.

free parameters (2)
  • wind breakout velocity = 0.35c
    Set to ∼0.35c to produce the X-ray breakout emission matching the observed duration and luminosity.
  • CSM radius = 10^13 cm
    Set to ∼10^13 cm so that the wind interaction produces the soft X-ray flash.
axioms (2)
  • standard math Magnetar spin-down luminosity and wind launching follow standard dipole radiation and magnetic acceleration formulas.
    Invoked to power the late-time optical emission and disk outflows.
  • domain assumption X-ray emission is produced by non-thermal free-free processes in the wind-CSM interaction.
    Assumed mechanism to explain the soft spectrum and long duration without direct spectral modeling shown.
invented entities (1)
  • long-lived magnetar surrounded by accretion disk no independent evidence
    purpose: Central engine providing sustained energy injection and magnetically driven winds.
    Postulated to explain the optical plateau, double-peaked light curve, and X-ray properties.

pith-pipeline@v0.9.0 · 6230 in / 1740 out tokens · 60608 ms · 2026-05-16T23:57:16.051147+00:00 · methodology

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Forward citations

Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score.

  1. XRF 241001A/SN 2024aiiq: A Faint Soft X-ray Transient Detected by SVOM with a Broad-Line Type Ic Supernova Revealed by JWST

    astro-ph.HE 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    XRF 241001A is a low-luminosity collapsar event with a broad-line Type Ic supernova, supporting XRFs as the faint end of the long GRB population observed on-axis by a weak jet.

  2. Magnetar Engines in Broad-lined Type Ic Supernovae and a Unified Picture for Magnetar-powered Stripped-envelope Supernovae

    astro-ph.HE 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    Broad-lined Type Ic supernovae are powered by magnetar engines, showing a universal ejecta-mass versus initial-spin correlation across stripped-envelope supernova types that supports a common progenitor framework.

Reference graph

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