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Leveraging rapid parameter estimates for efficient gravitational-wave Bayesian inference via posterior repartitioning

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Submitted 29 Jan 2026

abstract compiled · 2026-09-23 · no language-model review

The authors' main claim Importantly, we show that the performance gain provided by our method scales with SNR, establishing it as a powerful technique to mitigate the cost of analysing signals from current and future gravitational-wave observatories.

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arXiv ID2601.21630 (version 2)
Pith IDTCLZP2FF, Pith's permanent record of this paper and its review
CitationCharlie Hoy, Metha Prathaban, Michael J. Williams. "Leveraging rapid parameter estimates for efficient gravitational-wave Bayesian inference via posterior repartitioning." arXiv:2601.21630 (2026). https://pith.science/paper/TCLZP2FF
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What the abstract itself states, as probabilities: claims first 0.13 · states limitation 0.75 · human participants 0.01 · controlled comparison 0.63 · randomized assignment 0.01 · states quantitative result 0.99 · compares with prior results 0.86 · mentions code or data availability 0.03.

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arXiv listing abstract v2. Results and the main claim are underlined; .

Gravitational-wave astronomy typically relies on rigorous, computationally expensive Bayesian analyses. Several methods have also been developed to perform rapid, approximate Bayesian inference. We present a novel approach to leverage the results of these low-latency analyses to accelerate the final inference, whilst ensuring that the Bayesian prior remains independent of the data. By combining the fast constraints from the \texttt{simple-pe} algorithm with the nested sampling acceleration technique of posterior repartitioning, we demonstrate that our method can guide the nested sampler towards the most probable regions of parameter space more efficiently for signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) greater than 20, while mathematically guaranteeing that the final inference is identical to that of a standard, uninformed analysis. We validate the method through an injection study on signals with SNR $<$ 150, demonstrating that it produces statistically robust and unbiased results whilst providing speedups of up to 210\%, with a mean speedup of 34\% for SNRs $>$ 20. Importantly, we show that the performance gain provided by our method scales with SNR, establishing it as a powerful technique to mitigate the cost of analysing signals from current and future gravitational-wave observatories.

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What the classifier reports for each sentence. The number is the probability it gave the label.
#sentencerolethe authors' own workstates the main conclusionstrength
s0 Gravitational-wave astronomy typically relies on rigorous, computationally expensive Bayesian analyses. background 1.00 0.04 0.02 asserted 1.00
s1 Several methods have also been developed to perform rapid, approximate Bayesian inference. background 1.00 0.04 0.02 asserted 1.00
s2 We present a novel approach to leverage the results of these low-latency analyses to accelerate the final inference, whilst ensuring that the Bayesian prior remains independent of the data. contribution 1.00 0.85 0.24 asserted 0.98
s3 By combining the fast constraints from the \texttt{simple-pe} algorithm with the nested sampling acceleration technique of posterior repartitioning, we demonstrate that our method can guide the nested sampler towards the most probable regions of parameter space more efficiently for signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) greater than 20, while mathematically guaranteeing that the final inference is identical to that of a standard, uninformed analysis. method 0.85 0.92 0.47 asserted 1.00
s4 We validate the method through an injection study on signals with SNR $<$ 150, demonstrating that it produces statistically robust and unbiased results whilst providing speedups of up to 210\%, with a mean speedup of 34\% for SNRs $>$ 20. result 0.97 0.97 0.22 asserted 1.00
s5 Importantly, we show that the performance gain provided by our method scales with SNR, establishing it as a powerful technique to mitigate the cost of analysing signals from current and future gravitational-wave observatories. interpretation 0.91 0.95 0.49 asserted 1.00

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The paper
Original abstract

Gravitational-wave astronomy typically relies on rigorous, computationally expensive Bayesian analyses. Several methods have also been developed to perform rapid, approximate Bayesian inference. We present a novel approach to leverage the results of these low-latency analyses to accelerate the final inference, whilst ensuring that the Bayesian prior remains independent of the data. By combining the fast constraints from the \texttt{simple-pe} algorithm with the nested sampling acceleration technique of posterior repartitioning, we demonstrate that our method can guide the nested sampler towards the most probable regions of parameter space more efficiently for signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) greater than 20, while mathematically guaranteeing that the final inference is identical to that of a standard, uninformed analysis. We validate the method through an injection study on signals with SNR $<$ 150, demonstrating that it produces statistically robust and unbiased results whilst providing speedups of up to 210\%, with a mean speedup of 34\% for SNRs $>$ 20. Importantly, we show that the performance gain provided by our method scales with SNR, establishing it as a powerful technique to mitigate the cost of analysing signals from current and future gravitational-wave observatories.

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3 arXiv papers cite this in 5 sentences

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  • The other, complementary direction is to use machine learning techniques or advanced MCMC methods, either to accelerate stochastic samplers [ref] , or through simulation-based inference [ref] .

    Ab Initio Real-Time Gravitational-Wave Parameter Estimation · Low latency parameter estimation for gravitational waves · 0.91

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