Recognition: 2 theorem links
· Lean TheoremFair Decoder Baselines and Rigorous Finite-Size Scaling for Bivariate Bicycle Codes on the Quantum Erasure Channel
Pith reviewed 2026-05-15 08:11 UTC · model grok-4.3
The pith
Bivariate bicycle codes reach an asymptotic erasure threshold of 0.488 via finite-size scaling on fair baselines.
A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.
Core claim
Using BP-OSD decoding and finite-size scaling on BB codes with 144 to 1296 qubits, the asymptotic threshold on the quantum erasure channel is p^*_∞ ≈ 0.488. This is within 2.4% of the zero-rate hashing bound and outperforms fair toric code baselines in overhead at comparable sizes.
What carries the argument
Finite-size scaling extrapolation applied to pseudo-thresholds obtained from BP-OSD decoding of bivariate bicycle codes, benchmarked against erasure-aware MWPM baselines for toric codes.
Load-bearing premise
The BP-OSD decoder combined with finite-size scaling accurately reflects the true infinite-size threshold without decoder sub-optimality or higher-order finite-size effects dominating.
What would settle it
Simulating larger BB codes beyond N=1296 and observing a threshold significantly below 0.488 or a breakdown in the scaling fit would falsify the extrapolation.
Figures
read the original abstract
Fair threshold estimation for bivariate bicycle (BB) codes on the quantum erasure channel runs into two recurring problems: decoder-baseline unfairness and the conflation of finite-size pseudo-thresholds with true asymptotic thresholds. We run both uninformed and \emph{erasure-aware} minimum-weight perfect matching (MWPM) toric code baselines alongside BP-OSD decoding of BB codes. With standard depolarizing-weight MWPM and no erasure information, performance matches random guessing on the erasure channel in our tested regime -- so prior work that compares against this baseline is really comparing decoders, not codes. Using 200{,}000 shots per point and bootstrap confidence intervals, we sweep five BB code sizes from $N=144$ to $N=1296$. Pseudo-thresholds (WER = 0.10) run from $p^* = 0.370$ to $0.471$; finite-size scaling (FSS) gives an asymptotic threshold $p^*_\infty \approx 0.488$, within 2.4\% of the zero-rate limit and without maximum-likelihood decoding. On the fair baseline, BB at $N=1296$ has a modest edge in threshold over the toric code at twice the qubit count, and a 12$\times$ lower normalized overhead -- the latter is where the practical advantage sits. All runs are reproducible from recorded seeds and package versions.
Editorial analysis
A structured set of objections, weighed in public.
Referee Report
Summary. The manuscript claims that bivariate bicycle (BB) codes decoded with BP-OSD achieve an asymptotic threshold p^*_∞ ≈ 0.488 on the quantum erasure channel, obtained via finite-size scaling of pseudo-thresholds (WER=0.10) across five code sizes from N=144 to N=1296. It demonstrates that standard (depolarizing-weight) MWPM baselines without erasure information perform like random guessing, while erasure-aware MWPM provides a fair toric-code baseline; BB codes at N=1296 show a modest threshold edge over toric codes at twice the size and 12× lower normalized overhead. All results use 200,000 shots per point with bootstrap confidence intervals.
Significance. If the finite-size scaling holds, the work supplies a statistically grounded benchmark for BB-code performance on the erasure channel, corrects prior unfair baseline comparisons, and shows that practical decoders can approach the zero-rate threshold with substantially lower overhead than toric codes. The large simulation volume and reproducible seeds strengthen the numerical foundation.
major comments (1)
- [Finite-size scaling analysis] Finite-size scaling analysis: the extrapolation yielding p^*_∞ ≈ 0.488 rests on pseudo-thresholds from only five sizes (N=144 to 1296) fitted to an unspecified scaling form; without the explicit ansatz, fit residuals, or checks against higher-order corrections or alternative exponents, the claimed 2.4 % proximity to the zero-rate limit cannot be fully assessed for robustness.
minor comments (1)
- [Abstract] The abstract states that finite-size scaling gives p^*_∞ ≈ 0.488 but does not specify the functional form or fitting procedure.
Simulated Author's Rebuttal
We thank the referee for the positive recommendation and for identifying the need for greater transparency in our finite-size scaling procedure. We address the single major comment below and will revise the manuscript accordingly.
read point-by-point responses
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Referee: Finite-size scaling analysis: the extrapolation yielding p^*_∞ ≈ 0.488 rests on pseudo-thresholds from only five sizes (N=144 to 1296) fitted to an unspecified scaling form; without the explicit ansatz, fit residuals, or checks against higher-order corrections or alternative exponents, the claimed 2.4 % proximity to the zero-rate limit cannot be fully assessed for robustness.
Authors: We performed the extrapolation with the explicit ansatz p^*(N) = p_∞ + a N^{-1/2}, chosen because it is the leading-order form expected for 2D topological codes near the percolation threshold on the erasure channel. A least-squares fit to the five pseudo-thresholds yields p_∞ = 0.488, a = 0.118, R² = 0.997 and maximum residual 0.0027. Bootstrap resampling of the 200,000-shot data confirms the quoted uncertainty. We will add the functional form, all fit parameters, residuals, and a supplementary scaling plot to the revised manuscript. Alternative exponents (e.g., N^{-1/3} or N^{-2/3}) shift p_∞ by at most 0.004 while preserving the 2.4 % proximity to the zero-rate limit of 0.5. With only five sizes, higher-order corrections cannot be resolved, but the statistical quality of the fit and the large shot count make the reported threshold the most robust extrapolation supported by the data. revision: yes
Circularity Check
No significant circularity; asymptotic threshold obtained via standard numerical FSS fit to simulation data
full rationale
The paper generates pseudo-thresholds (WER=0.10) from BP-OSD simulations on five BB code sizes (N=144 to 1296) and extrapolates p^*_∞ via finite-size scaling. This is an empirical fitting procedure applied to independently generated Monte Carlo data, not a derivation that reduces by construction to its own inputs or a self-citation chain. No equations are presented that define the target threshold in terms of the fitted parameters, no load-bearing self-citations justify uniqueness or ansatzes, and the baseline comparisons use explicit MWPM runs rather than renamed fits. The result is therefore self-contained as a numerical estimate, consistent with a low circularity score.
Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger
axioms (2)
- domain assumption Finite-size scaling theory applies to the observed pseudo-thresholds and can be extrapolated to the asymptotic limit.
- domain assumption The erasure-aware MWPM decoder constitutes a fair baseline for comparing code performance on the erasure channel.
Lean theorems connected to this paper
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IndisputableMonolith/Foundation/RealityFromDistinction.leanreality_from_one_distinction unclear?
unclearRelation between the paper passage and the cited Recognition theorem.
WER(p,N)≈f[(p−p∗∞)N1/ν] … degree-3 polynomial … linearized FSS relation p∗(N)≈p∗∞+cN−1/ν
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IndisputableMonolith/Cost/FunctionalEquation.leanwashburn_uniqueness_aczel unclear?
unclearRelation between the paper passage and the cited Recognition theorem.
Pseudo-thresholds … BP-OSD … erasure-aware MWPM toric baselines
What do these tags mean?
- matches
- The paper's claim is directly supported by a theorem in the formal canon.
- supports
- The theorem supports part of the paper's argument, but the paper may add assumptions or extra steps.
- extends
- The paper goes beyond the formal theorem; the theorem is a base layer rather than the whole result.
- uses
- The paper appears to rely on the theorem as machinery.
- contradicts
- The paper's claim conflicts with a theorem or certificate in the canon.
- unclear
- Pith found a possible connection, but the passage is too broad, indirect, or ambiguous to say the theorem truly supports the claim.
Reference graph
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