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The Occurrence of Circumbinary Planets Around TESS M-dwarf Eclipsing Binaries
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Submitted 15 Oct 2026
abstract compiled · 2026-10-20 · no language-model review
The authors' main claim We find a 95\% confidence level (CL) upper limit on the occurrence rate of coplanar CBPs with sizes in the range $2-16 R_\oplus$ and with orbital periods up to 600 days of 33.0\%.
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The abstract, sentence by sentence
We present the first determination of the occurrence of transiting circumbinary planets (CBPs) in TESS data. Since tight binaries represent a constrained environment relative to single stars, CBPs contribute to our understanding of planet formation and evolution. We applied our custom single-transit detection algorithm to the recently-published sample of TESS eclipsing binaries containing two M-dwarfs (M\&Ms), finding only one signal attributable to a new candidate planet-sized object. We further performed sensitivity analysis and applied corrections to account for the TESS window function to arrive at our survey completeness. We find a 95\% confidence level (CL) upper limit on the occurrence rate of coplanar CBPs with sizes in the range $2-16 R_\oplus$ and with orbital periods up to 600 days of 33.0\%. If the mutual inclinations of CBPs are isotropically distributed with respect to the binaries, the occurrence rate upper limit increases to 40.2\%. Our occurrence rate estimates are limited in part by the misalignment of our short-period binaries relative to the line of sight.
background contribution method result interpretation main claim
| # | sentence | role | the authors' own work | states the main conclusion | strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| s0 | We present the first determination of the occurrence of transiting circumbinary planets (CBPs) in TESS data. | contribution 0.99 | 0.96 | 0.14 | asserted 1.00 |
| s1 | Since tight binaries represent a constrained environment relative to single stars, CBPs contribute to our understanding of planet formation and evolution. | background 0.91 | 0.06 | 0.03 | asserted 0.99 |
| s2 | We applied our custom single-transit detection algorithm to the recently-published sample of TESS eclipsing binaries containing two M-dwarfs (M\&Ms), finding only one signal attributable to a new candidate planet-sized object. | method 0.59 | 0.98 | 0.11 | asserted 1.00 |
| s3 | We further performed sensitivity analysis and applied corrections to account for the TESS window function to arrive at our survey completeness. | method 1.00 | 0.97 | 0.02 | asserted 0.98 |
| s4 | We find a 95\% confidence level (CL) upper limit on the occurrence rate of coplanar CBPs with sizes in the range $2-16 R_\oplus$ and with orbital periods up to 600 days of 33.0\%. | result 1.00 | 0.97 | 0.78 | asserted 1.00 |
| s5 | If the mutual inclinations of CBPs are isotropically distributed with respect to the binaries, the occurrence rate upper limit increases to 40.2\%. | result 0.97 | 0.82 | 0.09 | asserted 0.58 |
| s6 | Our occurrence rate estimates are limited in part by the misalignment of our short-period binaries relative to the line of sight. | limitation 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.04 | asserted 0.89 |
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Original abstract
We present the first determination of the occurrence of transiting circumbinary planets (CBPs) in TESS data. Since tight binaries represent a constrained environment relative to single stars, CBPs contribute to our understanding of planet formation and evolution. We applied our custom single-transit detection algorithm to the recently-published sample of TESS eclipsing binaries containing two M-dwarfs (M\&Ms), finding only one signal attributable to a new candidate planet-sized object. We further performed sensitivity analysis and applied corrections to account for the TESS window function to arrive at our survey completeness. We find a 95\% confidence level (CL) upper limit on the occurrence rate of coplanar CBPs with sizes in the range $2-16 R_\oplus$ and with orbital periods up to 600 days of 33.0\%. If the mutual inclinations of CBPs are isotropically distributed with respect to the binaries, the occurrence rate upper limit increases to 40.2\%. Our occurrence rate estimates are limited in part by the misalignment of our short-period binaries relative to the line of sight.
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