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A Note on the Prediction-Powered Bootstrap

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arxiv 2405.18379 v3 pith:5M7URG3O submitted 2024-05-28 stat.ML cs.LGstat.ME

A Note on the Prediction-Powered Bootstrap

classification stat.ML cs.LGstat.ME
keywords ppbootprediction-poweredapplicableapplicationasymptoticbootstrapinferencemethod
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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We introduce PPBoot: a bootstrap-based method for prediction-powered inference. PPBoot is applicable to arbitrary estimation problems and is very simple to implement, essentially only requiring one application of the bootstrap. Through a series of examples, we demonstrate that PPBoot often performs nearly identically to (and sometimes better than) the earlier PPI(++) method based on asymptotic normality$\unicode{x2013}$when the latter is applicable$\unicode{x2013}$without requiring any asymptotic characterizations. Given its versatility, PPBoot could simplify and expand the scope of application of prediction-powered inference to problems where central limit theorems are hard to prove.

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  1. Revisiting Active Sequential Prediction-Powered Mean Estimation

    stat.ML 2026-04 unverdicted novelty 5.0

    Non-asymptotic analysis of prediction-powered mean estimation shows that no-regret learning for query probabilities converges to the maximum allowed constant value, independent of covariates.