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Covariate balancing using the integral probability metric for causal inference

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arxiv 2305.13715 v1 pith:672UEBRS submitted 2023-05-23 stat.ML cs.LG

Covariate balancing using the integral probability metric for causal inference

classification stat.ML cs.LG
keywords modelbalancingcorrectlycovariatemethodsmetricprobabilityweighting
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Weighting methods in causal inference have been widely used to achieve a desirable level of covariate balancing. However, the existing weighting methods have desirable theoretical properties only when a certain model, either the propensity score or outcome regression model, is correctly specified. In addition, the corresponding estimators do not behave well for finite samples due to large variance even when the model is correctly specified. In this paper, we consider to use the integral probability metric (IPM), which is a metric between two probability measures, for covariate balancing. Optimal weights are determined so that weighted empirical distributions for the treated and control groups have the smallest IPM value for a given set of discriminators. We prove that the corresponding estimator can be consistent without correctly specifying any model (neither the propensity score nor the outcome regression model). In addition, we empirically show that our proposed method outperforms existing weighting methods with large margins for finite samples.

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  1. Local Balance Calibration for Nonparametric Propensity Score Estimation

    stat.ME 2024-04 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    Local Balance with Calibration using neural networks creates propensity score weights that enforce local covariate balance and calibration, yielding more stable weights and lower bias in average treatment effect estim...