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Machine Learning for Autonomous Vehicle's Trajectory Prediction: A comprehensive survey, Challenges, and Future Research Directions

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arxiv 2307.07527 v1 pith:7PI6UU2J submitted 2023-07-12 cs.LG cs.AI

classification cs.LGcs.AI
keywords predictiontrajectorycomprehensivelearningmethodslearning-basedreviewautonomous
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) have emerged as a promising solution by replacing human drivers with advanced computer-aided decision-making systems. However, for AVs to effectively navigate the road, they must possess the capability to predict the future behavior of nearby traffic participants, similar to the predictive driving abilities of human drivers. Building upon existing literature is crucial to advance the field and develop a comprehensive understanding of trajectory prediction methods in the context of automated driving. To address this need, we have undertaken a comprehensive review that focuses on trajectory prediction methods for AVs, with a particular emphasis on machine learning techniques including deep learning and reinforcement learning-based approaches. We have extensively examined over two hundred studies related to trajectory prediction in the context of AVs. The paper begins with an introduction to the general problem of predicting vehicle trajectories and provides an overview of the key concepts and terminology used throughout. After providing a brief overview of conventional methods, this review conducts a comprehensive evaluation of several deep learning-based techniques. Each method is summarized briefly, accompanied by a detailed analysis of its strengths and weaknesses. The discussion further extends to reinforcement learning-based methods. This article also examines the various datasets and evaluation metrics that are commonly used in trajectory prediction tasks. Encouraging an unbiased and objective discussion, we compare two major learning processes, considering specific functional features. By identifying challenges in the existing literature and outlining potential research directions, this review significantly contributes to the advancement of knowledge in the domain of AV trajectory prediction.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Evaluating Generative Vehicle Trajectory Models for Traffic Intersection Dynamics

    cs.AI 2025-06 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Trajectory prediction models that pass standard accuracy metrics still generate red-light violations, illegal stops, and near-collisions when evaluated online in a microsimulator, and new intersection-specific metrics...

  2. Extended Field of View Analysis for VideoGAN-based Trajectory Generation

    cs.CV 2026-08 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    A video GAN trained on semantic top-down traffic videos generates 15–25 m field-of-view scenes whose speed, acceleration, spacing, and time-to-collision statistics resemble real Waymo data, with inference below 20 ms.

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