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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models

As of 11 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 16 of 16 outbound references and 2 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2501.06496.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2501.06496 v1

Coverage vector

measured 16 of 16 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.803992Z

measured 18 of 18 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00

measured 2 of 2 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-08T06:04:54.590277Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-05-19T13:02:18.059443Z

Reference resolution

16 of 16 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact2
  • verified fuzzy1
  • unresolved11
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch2

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 1b8551e1-03a2-46d7-8d08-1b708197045c · outbound

This paper cites online" 'onlinestring :=.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models online" 'onlinestring :=

Reference 1

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.424742Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.424742Z digest=sha256:0f5f8b8d72163e46545d4443ee93c556b25f64caf37aea169fcaedf850125af2

Observation 65a61590-9382-4e3f-8d23-c84f9d37f152 · outbound

This paper cites write newline.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models write newline

Reference 2

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.435239Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.435239Z digest=sha256:9da7e8d6945b71d79a8e7605b7a2ec67130581237761afdf72088dd942007253

Observation 309da5cc-98d6-4181-8326-db6893b208df · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 3

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:43.096883Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.455617Z digest=sha256:e57d37ad8bb7d60e63bda220d3000f92b743576a5155ef8393b849777dc1973a

Observation dc629793-f298-4070-b345-7a7292b84695 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution
metadata mismatch
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:43.019381Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.474887Z digest=sha256:0323ca2856cb6e2238945e8380f047e7854306584d52ef0000482ba43111bcf3

Observation 99fe6f5e-f09f-4bd2-b635-199748e4f5a2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:42.731273Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.497038Z digest=sha256:1a6be05e0b10a34a0829717f9b85415b1d3acc52ae163836d59b1bd9ace4ba48

Observation 15c385af-39c1-444f-83ac-1aaae15b4e42 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 6

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.501485Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.501485Z digest=sha256:f30fe5e9f3459e67ee8b0eb65f94e1d0f083df4303b2fec57de661e909b71341

Observation cffb3276-3d95-46ab-a907-3d754e4b02a3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:43.079839Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.509653Z digest=sha256:17eabf0ece61bcc399bdf9e443ce9a22fb0b8cb9ec3b690734e21df4c9c204d6

Observation bc032e86-f4ee-400b-895c-ea341f345a3c · outbound

This paper cites Ptaszynski, Hirotoshi Honma, and Fumito Masui.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Ptaszynski, Hirotoshi Honma, and Fumito Masui

Reference 8

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:43.056563Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.586793Z digest=sha256:938bba9477cca5a0aafb4ef91bfab65835f9388a90f9c4ce179304c625168237

Observation 88211eed-81fe-485f-8ea3-75081cc7c5ea · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:42.566590Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.594301Z digest=sha256:09e36e3a95549817daba8febce6a0a0193d8c1e0f325c52ca0429e9a1df56f35

Observation 64441e17-f98b-4f13-a331-ca649ccb2d61 · outbound

This paper cites A Comprehensive Overview of Large Language Models.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models A Comprehensive Overview of Large Language Models

Reference 10

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.622005Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.622005Z digest=sha256:1480a23215d1cfdeb42ff91160bdc7ba0655e72d50bb35c678e41be132f67ba9

Observation 1886765e-6e00-41e9-8fa0-02c118eb3f8e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 11

Resolution
metadata mismatch
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:42.840979Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.664756Z digest=sha256:6dcc13f03bebedc3f2736896e7050f206509badbb354f1f5722247505b139264

Observation a30b1822-f9f0-4487-8f36-04a929f9e59d · outbound

This paper cites Large Language Models for Forecasting and Anomaly Detection: A Systematic Literature Review.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Large Language Models for Forecasting and Anomaly Detection: A Systematic Literature Review

Reference 12

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.714749Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.714749Z digest=sha256:c1147435509a303fbda7d1ca1fa9e6d794f50983cc985cc28e795929a37f19c8

Observation 01108c30-e913-4e34-8b53-9690d272dab6 · outbound

This paper cites Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models

Reference 13

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.747552Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.747552Z digest=sha256:40ea838f49526f13bfbc0a9a81812c84b527bf2f1d876060e9be10f59d90011c

Observation 32975343-8a60-4d3b-b984-eafef9646439 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 14

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.753948Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.753948Z digest=sha256:839f9b85595150f621ce24fb3b036acc8e4ee93263f6f77a83ee26f0f1bd78b8

Observation 8738b400-5d64-452c-8007-c833c478e203 · outbound

This paper cites Back to the Future: Towards Explainable Temporal Reasoning with Large Language Models.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Back to the Future: Towards Explainable Temporal Reasoning with Large Language Models

Reference 15

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.772485Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.772485Z digest=sha256:b0223fa7ed197919c666031617dd8eb881769645f5343c49ade98122d6e8a7a1

Observation 8c261e94-3554-4521-8a77-81584eaaee87 · outbound

This paper cites Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 16

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.803992Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.803992Z digest=sha256:d25ffd4751e0794d42e3de97d6c9189126d78b18f42f826784309092b49e9a46

Pith citing papers

Observation 9de509ae-4880-4c23-bed2-a2faa3435c54 · inbound

Wisdom of the Crowds in Forecasting: Forecast Summarization for Supporting Future Event Prediction cites this paper.

Wisdom of the Crowds in Forecasting: Forecast Summarization for Supporting Future Event Prediction Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models

Reference 1997

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-08T06:04:54.590277Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-08T06:04:54.590277Z digest=sha256:5ee62a9abb4d7abaf82dd913a747526b40866f342ab216f5b23f9a78f67bc1f0

Observation e8057d37-63d0-413b-87a4-283307b6dd62 · inbound

It's High Time: A Survey of Temporal Question Answering cites this paper.

It's High Time: A Survey of Temporal Question Answering Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models

Reference 20

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-19T13:02:18.065979Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-19T13:01:57.275994Z digest=sha256:724de70e2b647b9b19d0dd2da2826e1c79a81c96adc543284927b4dd06b67212