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Information thermodynamics of financial markets: the Glosten-Milgrom model

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arxiv 2010.01905 v2 pith:CHPVV6KD submitted 2020-10-05 cond-mat.stat-mech econ.THq-fin.TR

Information thermodynamics of financial markets: the Glosten-Milgrom model

classification cond-mat.stat-mech econ.THq-fin.TR
keywords marketinformationtradersfinancialinformedmodelthermodynamicsamount
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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The Glosten-Milgrom model describes a single asset market, where informed traders interact with a market maker, in the presence of noise traders. We derive an analogy between this financial model and a Szil\'ard information engine by {\em i)} showing that the optimal work extraction protocol in the latter coincides with the pricing strategy of the market maker in the former and {\em ii)} defining a market analogue of the physical temperature from the analysis of the distribution of market orders. Then we show that the expected gain of informed traders is bounded above by the product of this market temperature with the amount of information that informed traders have, in exact analogy with the corresponding formula for the maximal expected amount of work that can be extracted from a cycle of the information engine. This suggests that recent ideas from information thermodynamics may shed light on financial markets, and lead to generalised inequalities, in the spirit of the extended second law of thermodynamics.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

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  1. The Privacy Subsidy in Glosten-Milgrom: Bid-Ask Spread and Welfare under Flip-Noise Direction Observation

    cs.GT 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    In the Glosten-Milgrom model with flip-noise on trade direction, equilibrium spread equals μ(1-2η)Δ and a privacy subsidy of μηΔ transfers value from liquidity pool to traders.

  2. The Privacy Subsidy in Glosten-Milgrom: Bid-Ask Spread and Welfare under Flip-Noise Direction Observation

    cs.GT 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0

    In the Glosten-Milgrom model with flip-noise on direction observation, equilibrium spread equals μ(1-2η)Δ and privacy subsidy equals μηΔ per trade.