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arxiv: 2105.04379 · v1 · pith:FYLAPNZMnew · submitted 2021-05-10 · 📊 stat.ML · cs.LG· stat.CO· stat.ME

Gradient-based Bayesian Experimental Design for Implicit Models using Mutual Information Lower Bounds

classification 📊 stat.ML cs.LGstat.COstat.ME
keywords boundsexperimentallowermodelsdesignframeworkappliedbayesian
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We introduce a framework for Bayesian experimental design (BED) with implicit models, where the data-generating distribution is intractable but sampling from it is still possible. In order to find optimal experimental designs for such models, our approach maximises mutual information lower bounds that are parametrised by neural networks. By training a neural network on sampled data, we simultaneously update network parameters and designs using stochastic gradient-ascent. The framework enables experimental design with a variety of prominent lower bounds and can be applied to a wide range of scientific tasks, such as parameter estimation, model discrimination and improving future predictions. Using a set of intractable toy models, we provide a comprehensive empirical comparison of prominent lower bounds applied to the aforementioned tasks. We further validate our framework on a challenging system of stochastic differential equations from epidemiology.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

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  1. Action-BED: Task-Driven Bayesian Experimental Design with Singly Intractable Objectives

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    Action-BED recasts BED as expected future loss on actions, producing singly intractable objectives jointly optimized for design and action policies via stochastic gradients without explicit posterior estimation.

  2. Variational Sequential Optimal Experimental Design using Reinforcement Learning

    stat.ML 2023-06 unverdicted novelty 7.0

    vsOED uses a variational one-point reward and RL policy optimization to provide a lower bound on expected information gain for sequential experimental design, supporting nuisance parameters, implicit likelihoods, and ...