Minimax quantum tomography: the ultimate bounds on accuracy

A minimax estimator has the minimum possible error ("risk") in the worst case. We construct the first minimax estimators for quantum state tomography with relative entropy risk. The minimax risk of non-adaptive tomography scales as $O(1/\sqrt{N})$, in contrast to that of classical probability estimation which is $O(1/N)$. We trace this deficiency to sampling mismatch: future observations that determine risk may come from a different sample space than the past data that determine the estimate. This makes minimax estimators very biased, and we propose a computationally tractable alternative with similar behavior in the worst case, but superior accuracy on most states.