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Signature moments to characterize laws of stochastic processes
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The sequence of moments of a vector-valued random variable can characterize its law. We study the analogous problem for path-valued random variables, that is stochastic processes, by using so-called robust signature moments. This allows us to derive a metric of maximum mean discrepancy type for laws of stochastic processes and study the topology it induces on the space of laws of stochastic processes. This metric can be kernelized using the signature kernel which allows to efficiently compute it. As an application, we provide a non-parametric two-sample hypothesis test for laws of stochastic processes.
Forward citations
Cited by 4 Pith papers
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Expected Signature Kernels for L\'evy Rough Paths
Expected signature kernels of inhomogeneous Lévy processes satisfy a coupled Goursat PDE and ODE system, with exact finite-dimensional reduction in the continuous case and controlled truncation in the jump case.
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Learning with Expected Signatures: Theory and Applications
The paper proves consistency and asymptotic normality for empirical expected signature estimators under irregular and dependent sampling and proposes a martingale correction that lowers estimator variance.
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Signature Cumulants, Ordered Partitions, and Independence of Stochastic Processes
The logarithm of the expected path signature satisfies ordered-partition analogues of classical cumulant formulas, giving an independence test and efficient estimators for path-valued data.
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How Fast Do Signatures Learn? Statistical Theory and Applications for Path Regression
For smooth functionals of Itô diffusions, the level-K truncated signature achieves minimax-optimal squared L2 error of order K^{-2γ}, and this rate propagates through Signature-OLS, Signature-LASSO, and Signature-Logistic.
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