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CATS: Mitigating Correlation Shift for Multivariate Time Series Classification

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arxiv 2504.04283 v1 pith:L4W37KAG submitted 2025-04-05 cs.LG cs.AIstat.ML

classification cs.LGcs.AIstat.ML
keywords correlationcatsdatashiftmultivariateclassificationcorrelationsdomain
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abstract

Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (UDA) leverages labeled source data to train models for unlabeled target data. Given the prevalence of multivariate time series (MTS) data across various domains, the UDA task for MTS classification has emerged as a critical challenge. However, for MTS data, correlations between variables often vary across domains, whereas most existing UDA works for MTS classification have overlooked this essential characteristic. To bridge this gap, we introduce a novel domain shift, {\em correlation shift}, measuring domain differences in multivariate correlation. To mitigate correlation shift, we propose a scalable and parameter-efficient \underline{C}orrelation \underline{A}dapter for M\underline{TS} (CATS). Designed as a plug-and-play technique compatible with various Transformer variants, CATS employs temporal convolution to capture local temporal patterns and a graph attention module to model the changing multivariate correlation. The adapter reweights the target correlations to align the source correlations with a theoretically guaranteed precision. A correlation alignment loss is further proposed to mitigate correlation shift, bypassing the alignment challenge from the non-i.i.d. nature of MTS data. Extensive experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that (1) compared with vanilla Transformer-based models, CATS increases over $10\%$ average accuracy while only adding around $1\%$ parameters, and (2) all Transformer variants equipped with CATS either reach or surpass state-of-the-art baselines.

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    cs.LG 2025-05 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    A learnable fusor that reads meta-features of an input time series and weights 13 pre-trained forecasters per sample outperforms each individual model on most benchmark samples, including zero-shot settings.

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