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arxiv: 1405.3224 · v2 · pith:PNNQSEYAnew · submitted 2014-05-13 · 🧮 math.ST · cs.LG· stat.ML· stat.TH

On the Complexity of A/B Testing

classification 🧮 math.ST cs.LGstat.MLstat.TH
keywords fixed-confidencealternativescasecomplexityfixed-budgettestingoutcomessampling
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A/B testing refers to the task of determining the best option among two alternatives that yield random outcomes. We provide distribution-dependent lower bounds for the performance of A/B testing that improve over the results currently available both in the fixed-confidence (or delta-PAC) and fixed-budget settings. When the distribution of the outcomes are Gaussian, we prove that the complexity of the fixed-confidence and fixed-budget settings are equivalent, and that uniform sampling of both alternatives is optimal only in the case of equal variances. In the common variance case, we also provide a stopping rule that terminates faster than existing fixed-confidence algorithms. In the case of Bernoulli distributions, we show that the complexity of fixed-budget setting is smaller than that of fixed-confidence setting and that uniform sampling of both alternatives -though not optimal- is advisable in practice when combined with an appropriate stopping criterion.

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