Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links
Paper Citation Record · LEDGER
Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
As of 18 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 13 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2402.13213.
A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.
Coverage vector
One-hop event checks from named stored sources.
Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00
Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-16T10:31:49.646760Z
A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.
Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-07-02T21:07:23.912546Z
Reference resolution
0 of 0 outbound references displayed
- verified exact0
- verified fuzzy0
- unresolved0
- parse uncertain0
- malformed identifier0
- metadata mismatch0
External citation measurements
No source-named external measurement is stored.
Outbound references
No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.
Pith citing papers
Observation 6b3a3b5c-f38f-44e4-8fee-2de7ebce61bd · inbound
Enhancing Trust in Large Language Models via Uncertainty-Calibrated Fine-Tuning cites this paper.
Enhancing Trust in Large Language Models via Uncertainty-Calibrated Fine-Tuning Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 53
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-23T07:47:42.669613Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 78a6a99f-2285-48aa-817a-140b6cece409 · inbound
Rethinking Uncertainty Estimation in LLMs: A Principled Single-Sequence Measure cites this paper.
Rethinking Uncertainty Estimation in LLMs: A Principled Single-Sequence Measure Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 14
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-23T06:22:38.186542Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation e1c54e9e-7f57-4eb7-a829-f1a5b5b07179 · inbound
Random-Set Large Language Models cites this paper.
Random-Set Large Language Models Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 64
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-16T10:31:49.646760Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation a11cdbf3-600f-4ebd-96b6-29b0e6db1099 · inbound
Epistemic Artificial Intelligence is Essential for Machine Learning Models to Truly 'Know When They Do Not Know' cites this paper.
Epistemic Artificial Intelligence is Essential for Machine Learning Models to Truly 'Know When They Do Not Know' Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 187
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T23:21:13.768226Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation d77c015c-0fb6-4b89-81cc-ca57c5ff6e60 · inbound
Resilient LLM-Empowered Semantic MAC Protocols via Zero-Shot Adaptation and Knowledge Distillation cites this paper.
Resilient LLM-Empowered Semantic MAC Protocols via Zero-Shot Adaptation and Knowledge Distillation Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 26
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T15:09:36.447956Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 48e9aed8-a786-4985-8e97-ca104f4f2d9b · inbound
Shapley Uncertainty in Natural Language Generation cites this paper.
Shapley Uncertainty in Natural Language Generation Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 2021
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T12:55:57.711866Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 62e24b5d-6bee-4a4e-b606-6396c400275f · inbound
Causal Evidence that Language Models use Confidence to Drive Behavior cites this paper.
Causal Evidence that Language Models use Confidence to Drive Behavior Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 13
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-21T09:44:05.679600Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 41208fd2-6bb0-40be-981e-f0c1201f221c · inbound
Calibrating Model-Based Evaluation Metrics for Summarization cites this paper.
Calibrating Model-Based Evaluation Metrics for Summarization Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 67
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-10T06:41:37.021662Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation a2506d7f-6ae5-4966-9f74-774be58d8d5c · inbound
Instance-Adaptive Online Multicalibration cites this paper.
Instance-Adaptive Online Multicalibration Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 30
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-12T05:56:40.742330Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 8682f582-6878-4837-bdb2-f5c8047ba853 · inbound
Instance-Adaptive Online Multicalibration cites this paper.
Instance-Adaptive Online Multicalibration Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 30
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-22T09:41:21.584990Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation ca86e480-9f27-48d4-84b8-949bc233cd15 · inbound
Task-Aware Calibration: Provably Optimal Decoding in LLMs cites this paper.
Task-Aware Calibration: Provably Optimal Decoding in LLMs Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 39
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-12T02:56:18.701791Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation fc9ccb72-0e16-4a51-a59c-c0eda646e3c9 · inbound
PromptNCE: Pointwise Mutual Information Predictions Using Only LLMs and Contrastive Estimation Prompts cites this paper.
PromptNCE: Pointwise Mutual Information Predictions Using Only LLMs and Contrastive Estimation Prompts Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 27
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-22T08:46:18.168776Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.
Observation 96734832-56cb-42d8-90c9-2cd72e1a68b6 · inbound
ConSteer-RL: Steering Reasoning Capabilities in Large Language Models via Confidence-Aware Reinforcement Learning cites this paper.
ConSteer-RL: Steering Reasoning Capabilities in Large Language Models via Confidence-Aware Reinforcement Learning Probabilities of Chat LLMs Are Miscalibrated but Still Predict Correctness on Multiple-Choice Q&A
Reference 10
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-02T21:07:23.914209Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.